Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 181.60 | SELL ALL | 181.60 | 224.76⚠ | n/a | n/a | 131.45 (-27.6%) | NVIDIA fell 9.3% to 181.60 as chip stocks had their worst day since March 2020 on AI-regulation and data-center fears after the midterms; it is far under its 224.76 stop and its 200-day average, and the model now prints STRONG SELL - REDUCE on a 20-day breakdown, so the full exit stands. The 12-week view (131.45) is about 28% below the price. Re-issue of the unfilled 11-04 card (fifth issue), repriced from 200.13; replaces it (no stacking). Q2/S2: stop/EMA200 line fired 10-30, both legs breached (-4.48 ATR / -2.79 ATR); V1 withdraw clause not met. Engine REDUCE 77.89% subsumed by the full exit. at the 11-06 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Re-add: fresh BUY/BUY - ADD raw >= 75 and settled close > 224.76. Realized about -vs cost 226.80. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1356.65 | SELL ALL | 1356.65 | 1651.25⚠ | n/a | n/a | 878.38 (-35.3%) | ASML dropped 9.3% to 1,356.65 in the chip crash, far below its 1,651.25 stop and its 200-day average, and the model flipped from sixteen NO TRADE prints to STRONG SELL - REDUCE, so the unfilled full exit is re-issued. News confirms: the sector sold off on AI-regulation fears and an AI-trade unwind. Re-issue of the 11-04 card, repriced from 1,496.30; replaces it (no stacking). W1/T5: -3.58 ATR vs stop. at the 11-06 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Re-entry: fresh BUY-family raw >= 70 and settled close > 1,651.25. Realized about -vs cost 1,826.98. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 353.10 | SELL ALL | 353.10 | 435.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | 255.78 (-27.6%) | TSMC fell 10.8% to 353.10 in the chip crash, well under its 435.16 stop and its 200-day average, with the model now printing STRONG SELL - REDUCE and a negative 12-week view (255.78), so the full exit stands. Sector news confirms the weakness; no override. Re-issue of the 11-04 card, repriced from 395.75; replaces it (no stacking). L2 basis (stop break -3.86 ATR + negative 12wk) intact. TSMC Oct revenue ~11-10 does not hold a stop-break exit. T5: is the full-exit rounding. at the 11-06 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Re-entry: fresh BUY-family raw >= 70 and settled close > 435.16. Realized about -vs cost 438.02. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
106 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.