Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 168.89 | SELL ALL | 168.89 | 224.76⚠ | n/a | n/a | 96.27 (-43.0%) | NVIDIA fell another 5.5% to 168.89 as the board probe of its CEO widened to a report of in chips reaching China; the model prints STRONG SELL - REDUCE 85 (20-day breakdown) and the stock is far below its 224.76 stop and 200-day average, so the full exit stands. The 12-week view (96.27) is about 43% below the price. Re-issue of the unfilled 11-09 card (eighth issue); replaces it (no stacking). Q2/S2: stop/EMA200 line fired 10-30 (-4.78 ATR / -3.23 ATR); V1 withdraw clause not met; catalyst-aware hold into 11-17 earnings does not apply to a decisive stop break. at the 11-11 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Re-add: fresh BUY/BUY - ADD raw >= 75 and settled close > 224.76. Realized about -14,651 vs cost 226.80. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1507.85 | SELL ALL | 1507.85 | 1651.25⚠ | n/a | n/a | 993.38 (-34.1%) | ASML slipped to 1,507.85 and remains below its 1,651.25 stop and its 200-day average, with a deeply negative 12-week view (993.38), so the stop-break exit stands even though the model prints NO TRADE. Re-issue of the 11-09 card; replaces it (no stacking). L2/W1/T5: -1.78 ATR vs stop. at the 11-11 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Withdraw if a settled close > EMA200 1,570.70 with a bullish label. Re-entry: fresh BUY-family raw >= 70 and settled close > 1,651.25. Realized about -1,915 vs cost 1,826.98. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 396.48 | SELL ALL | 396.48 | 435.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | 288.00 (-27.4%) | TSMC rose 2% to 396.48 but is still well under its 435.16 stop and just under its 200-day average, with a negative 12-week view (288.00), so the full exit stands even though the model prints NO TRADE. Re-issue of the 11-09 card; replaces it (no stacking). L2 basis (stop break -1.93 ATR + negative 12wk) intact. at the 11-11 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Withdraw if a settled close > EMA200 399.57 with a bullish label. Re-entry: fresh BUY-family raw >= 70 and settled close > 435.16. Realized about -125 vs cost 438.02. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
115 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.