Recommendations
2 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 262.09 | BUY — QUEUED @240.65 | 240.65 | 228.33 | 246.15 (+2.3%) | 258.97 (+7.6%) | 373.48 (+55.2%) | Repriced pullback entry on the AI-data leader: analysts just lifted fair value and Street PTs run 270-370 (UBS/Citi/WF/MS/GS), BofA named it a Top-Q3 idea, revenue +33.5% YoY. Signal flipped to PullbackBuy_VWAP (the book's reliable buy cell) conv 74; queue a GTC buy-limit at the model entry 240.65 (close 262, RSI 69 -> extended, fills only on an ~8% pullback, no chase). Supersedes the 07-04 266.16 buy-stop that never filled (07-06 high 266.0). NA valuation (DCF 112 not an anchor for hyper-growth SaaS) -> val_adj 0, gate off. f=0.30 (calib degenerate, L5). 12wk 373 exceeds DCF anchor. Sized 0.6695*1M*0.20=133,900 ->; executes next open 07-07, expires 07-10. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 451.79 | BUY — QUEUED @451.79 | 451.79 | 438.91 | 467.25 (+3.4%) | 503.31 (+11.4%) | 538.11 (+19.1%) | AI-foundry momentum upgraded to STRONG BUY (conv 76, Buy_Rank #3) off the settled 07-06 close: Barclays Overweight PT, consensus Strong Buy (13/17), 3nm capacity expansion (TW/AZ/JP) + wafer price hikes, +93% 52wk. Model prints a Market order at 451.79 but converted to a GTC buy-limit at the same price to avoid chasing into the 07-08 FOMC minutes (overlay: no new leverage into the print), 07-14 CPI, and Q2 earnings 07-16 -> fills only without a gap-up; expires 07-10, before earnings. FailedBreakdown_Up_20D is an L1-discounted chase cell and this is a single fresh print (L4) -> modest starter, not a max position. NA_CCY valuation -> val_adj 0, gate off. f=0.30 (L5). Sized 0.6695*1M*0.20 ->. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
24 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.