Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 536.02 | HOLD | 536.02 | 517.26 | 543.97 (+1.5%) | 562.53 (+4.9%) | 763.83 (+42.5%) | Dell pulled back 2.5% but the model still reads a hold with a strong long-term view, so we keep the position on its trailing stop. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 61 -> HOLD 64 (PullbackBuy_VWAP HOLD, no ADD label). Stop 517.26 held (scan 491.69 and chandelier 479.14 looser; U5). Not armed (Gain_ATR 2.04 < 3; T12 70.18). |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1080.53 | HOLD | 1080.53 | 998.56 | 1107.67 (+2.5%) | 1171.01 (+8.4%) | 1349.52 (+24.9%) | Micron recovered to a hold at higher conviction ahead of its fiscal Q4 report on 09-30, so we hold through the event with no adds and no pre-trim. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 68 -> HOLD 76. Catalyst-aware hold (FQ4 AMC 09-30, <=5 sessions). Stop 998.56 held (scan 1044 is 0.81 ATR, rejected by Y5; chandelier 990.05 looser). Unarmed (Gain_ATR 2.02, T12 80.07). |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 192.59 | HOLD | 192.59 | 181.06 | 205.21 (+6.6%) | 234.65 (+21.8%) | 260.15 (+35.1%) | The Palantir add filled at the breakout level and the stock held above it, so we keep the larger position and tighten its stop. OPERATIONAL: Filled @188.64 (txn ustech-20260925-0001), avg cost 180.42 (scan Avg_Cost 175.81 lags, Y4). STRONG BUY - ADD 80 -> HOLD 75 (AnticipationUp_VCP). RSI_DIV on row: unarmed (true Gain_ATR 1.82), G1-G3 bar any elevate trim (12wk 260.15 >> DCF 46.62). Stop 178.27 -> 181.06 (Y5: scan print 1.72 ATR below close, tightest). Decisive close < 181.06 -> trim 30% (181). |
| CRM | SalesForce Inc | 238.22 | HOLD | 238.22 | 238.25⚠ | 242.62 (+1.8%) | 252.88 (+6.2%) | 321.76 (+35.1%) | Salesforce is sitting right on its alert line, but the model's long-term view is strongly positive and Dreamforce brought fresh AI product news, so we hold and keep the hard exit below. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 49 -> HOLD 49. Close 238.22 vs alert 238.25 (-0.01%). Hard exit not hit: close < 228.98, or close < 238.25 with 12wk < close (12wk 321.76). ADR-0020: 238.25 vs peak 251.77 = 5.4%, cut 09- - clear. · news |
| AAPL | Apple | 335.92 | HOLD | 335.92 | 326.25 | 339.67 (+1.1%) | 348.42 (+3.7%) | 372.57 (+10.9%) | Apple is holding steady with a positive long-term view; the profit arm is not yet material, so we just hold on the stop. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 56 -> HOLD 56. PROFIT_ARMED via T12 90.16 but Gain_ATR 0.77 < 1.0 (X2 immaterial); no tick anyway (conv flat, 12wk 372.57 alive). Stop 326.25 held. |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1753.62 | HOLD | 1753.62 | 1589.90 | 1818.84 (+3.7%) | 1971.02 (+12.4%) | 2208.34 (+25.9%) | SanDisk slid with the memory group on supply-glut worries, but Bank of America raised its target and the position is well above its stop, so we hold into Micron's results. OPERATIONAL: WATCH 61 -> HOLD 54, -5.01% vs 1846.17 fill. Unarmed (Gain_ATR -0.85), tick (b) inert (Y6). Stop 1589.90 held (scan 1699.27 is 0.5 ATR, rejected). Exit if close < 1589.90 with 12wk < close (12wk 2208.34). MU FQ4 09-30 read-through. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 451.15 | HOLD | 451.15 | 433.15 | 470.67 (+4.3%) | 516.22 (+14.4%) | 488.04 (+8.2%) | TSMC firmed back up with conviction rising, and the profit arm is material but nothing has fired, so we raise the stop rather than trim. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 69 -> HOLD 75. PROFIT_ARMED material (Gain_ATR 1.26 >= 1.0, T12 92.44); no tick: no other Exit_Warning, conv +6, 12wk 488.04 > 1.02x close 460.17, no NO TRADE. Armed-not-fired -> trail-raise 431.52 -> 433.15 (scan print 1.73 ATR below close, Y5). Tick -> trim 30% (19). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 224.58 | HOLD | 224.58 | 218.10 | 227.65 (+1.4%) | 234.82 (+4.6%) | 239.38 (+6.6%) | Nvidia is drifting just below cost with softening conviction but no sell signal, so we hold on the stop. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 62 -> HOLD 56. PROFIT_ARMED on a loss (Gain_ATR -0.43) is inert (UT-9). Stop 218.10 held. Close < 218.10 with 12wk < close -> exit; alone = Y2 alert. |
| META | Meta Platforms | 777.59 | NO ACTION | 770.78 | 671.51 | 830.34 (+7.7%) | 969.32 (+25.8%) | 1043.24 (+35.3%) | Meta jumped to a strong buy on its Muse AI agent and a wave of analyst target raises, but it fails the quality screen for new positions and is overbought, so it is recorded only as a not-taken idea. OPERATIONAL: STRONG BUY 85 (fresh; WATCH prior), Buy_Rank 1, MomentumContinuation_Up; val_adj -9 (MoS -1.77) -> adj 76; Quality_Pass False blocks new entry. Also RSI 80.5 and close 777.59 already above the 770.78 buy-stop (ED -0.21). News confirms (JPM PT 920). Counterfactual only. · news |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 243.48 | NO ACTION | 243.48 | 229.50 | 253.21 (+4.0%) | 275.92 (+13.3%) | 272.97 (+12.1%) | Nebius flipped back to a buy after a failed breakdown, but it fails the quality screen for new positions, so it is recorded only as a not-taken idea. OPERATIONAL: BUY 78 (WATCH 54 prior; flip-flop trail SB 86 -> B 76 -> W 54 -> B 78), Buy_Rank 2; val_adj -10 (MoS -343.8) + bias +3 (FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy, Z5 passes) -> adj 71; Quality_Pass False. Counterfactual only. |
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 334.00 | NO ACTION | 336.30 | 322.60 | 342.41 (+1.8%) | 356.67 (+6.1%) | 417.27 (+24.1%) | Snowflake still prints a pullback buy, but conviction is below the book's bar after valuation and it fails the quality screen, so it is recorded only as a not-taken idea. OPERATIONAL: BUY 64 (4th print), Buy_Rank 3; val_adj -10 (MoS -1.92) -> adj 54 < 65; Quality_Pass False. Counterfactual only. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 358.82 | BUY-STOP | 366.19 | 307.50 | 401.40 (+9.6%) | 483.55 (+32.0%) | 511.32 (+39.6%) | Cloudflare qualified for the early-entry slot for a third session at higher conviction, but it fails the quality screen for new positions, so it is recorded only as a not-taken idea. OPERATIONAL: BUY - ANTICIPATE -> 75 ( >=; conv 75 >= 55 slot floor); val_adj -10 (MoS -10.94) -> adj 65; Quality_Pass False blocks. Counterfactual only. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
44 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.138 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.