MeanRevDown_UpperBand
Mean reversion short at upper range resistance in ranging market
Setup — what must already be true
- ADX trend strength is Ranging
- Donchian channel position is one of Near High / Above Channel
- RSI regime is one of Overbought / Extreme Overbought
- Volume trend is one of Stable / Declining
- Liquidity gate is Pass
Trigger — what fires the signal
- Momentum trajectory (RSI + MACD direction) is one of Both Deteriorating / Mixed
- Volume vs 20-day average ≤ 1.2
Trade box & conviction bar
- Entry: sell limit at 0.2 ATR offset
- Stop: range high (1 ATR)
- Target: fixed
- Time stop: 7 bars
- Conviction: BUY-grade at ≥ 55, STRONG at ≥ 75
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Live track record for this signal
- Hong Kong Main (sell): 0% hit the 1-week target (n=2, building sample)
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