Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict
3 ACQUIRE (0100 MiniMax 200@260.6 cv90; 6869 YOFC 500@156.4 cv72; 0388 HKEX QUEUED 100@377.14 cv73/adj78) need ~HK from HK -> ~HK after. NO DISPOSE — no SELL prints; 07-13 CCB/HSBC/7709 de-risks WITHDRAWN (signal reversed post-CPI). Hua Hong held through TSMC 07-16 (trail 162). Measured ~7% re-risk of.
Recommendations
3 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0100 | MiniMax-W | 260.60 | BUY | 260.60 | 228.00 | 280.92 (+7.8%) | 284.34 (+9.1%) | 308.56 (+18.4%) | AI name, deeply oversold RSI33 reversal bounce; strengthening STRONG BUY cv90 at entry — cleanest re-risk entry after benign 07-14 CPI. Buy at market; conservative starter (weak HK buy cells + high vol). Stop 228 manual (model 140.66 degenerate). Est 12wk +18.4%. · news |
| 6869 | YOFC | 156.40 | BUY | 156.40 | 140.00 | 161.79 (+3.4%) | 158.28 (+1.2%) | 183.91 (+17.6%) | Optical-fibre / AI-datacenter capex name; stable at-entry oversold-reversal BUY cv72 (RSI39). Taken at market (no_chase_queue under-fills) but sized to 1 minimum lot with a tightened 140 stop — Est bands enormous (12wk 61-526) and model stop 104.64 degenerate. · news |
| 0388 | HKEX | 393.40 | BUY — QUEUED @377.14 | 377.14 | 368.46 | 394.71 (+4.7%) | 395.19 (+4.8%) | 390.18 (+3.5%) | L1-favored PullbackBuy on the one reliable HK buy cell (+5), but the name has run 2.12 ATR past the pullback entry -> QUEUE a GTC-limit at 377.14 so the book only pays the disciplined pullback price; no cash committed today. Auto-withdraw if conv<65 or unfilled by 07-20. · news |
| 0992 | Lenovo | 23.86 | NO ACTION | 23.86 | 23.34 | 23.66 (-0.8%) | 24.82 (+4.0%) | 26.98 (+13.1%) | BUY cv73 FailedBreakdown_Up at entry, adj 70 (>=floor) but slot-capped 4th behind the 3 higher-ranked buys, and the FailedBreakdown cell is L1-discouraged (-3). Watch for a PullbackBuy_VWAP re-arm to promote. Est 12wk +13.1%. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong | 169.30 | HOLD | 169.30 | 162.00 | 172.82 (+2.1%) | 172.15 (+1.7%) | 186.80 (+10.3%) | HOLD cv34, +5.8% vs cost, PROFIT_ARMED via T12_progress 90.6 but NOT fired (12wk 186.8 alive +10%, no other tick) -> trail-raise not trim. Hold 3,000 through TSMC 07-16 read-through (catalyst-aware HOLD), stop 162. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
104 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.261 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.