Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 72.57 | BUY | 72.57 | 71.94 | 72.98 (+0.6%) | 73.86 (+1.8%) | 78.36 (+8.0%) | The Magnificent Seven basket turned back to BUY, trading above every moving average. It closed Tuesday at the day's low, a -0.55% dip on a record-Nasdaq session. That puts entry on weakness, with the four-week estimate paying about 2x the risk to a tight stop. It is the only row on the board that clears both the conviction floor and the payoff gate. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv72, scorecard bias -2 (SE-1, live) -> adj 70; trail BUY63 -> WATCH54 -> AVOID86 (ReversalDown_Overbought) -> BUY72, so this is a FRESH single print after a bearish one (stability caveat stated). Buy_Rank 2. Payoff_4W (73.86-72.57)/0.63 = 2.05x >= 1.5x (W3). W3/W5 corollary: the 0.50-ATR stop (71.94) is the fixed_with_time_stop constant, so the payoff is provisional. Close = day low 72.57 vs high 73.46: not a chase. Est_12W 78.36 > Est_4W 73.86 > close (SE-2 ok; still a <=4wk tactical swing). Y5: re-eligible because the close is above the 09-16 exit stop of 69.43. W6/V7: size 20% of conservative NAV = ->, size_mod 1.0. L8: MOO 09-23; reprice/re-validate if the open gaps >~1.5%. Catalyst: the Trump-Xi summit + tech-titan dinner is Thu 09-24, so the hold is binary into it; the stop governs. · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 61.78 | WATCH | 61.78 | 61.08 | 62.04 (+0.4%) | 64.76 (+4.8%) | 63.19 (+2.3%) | Energy remains below the stop of the unrecorded 09-21 fill after oil kept easing. If that position exists and the 09-22 open sale did not execute, sell it at the next open. OPERATIONAL: contingent on the unrecorded 09-18 card (@64.31, MOO 09-21, open 63.17). 09-22 open 61.63 / close 61.78; conviction WATCH. If sold at the 09-22 open: realized 153 x (61.63-63.17) = -. If still held: SELL 153 at the 09-23 open (L2/L3). If never placed: record `trade skip sectoretf XLE`. · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 167.39 | WATCH | 168.60 | 160.31 | 168.83 (+0.1%) | 171.67 (+1.8%) | 177.35 (+5.2%) | Cloud computing held most of Monday's breakout, easing 0.49% on Tuesday. An unrecorded 09-21 fill would be up about 2.6%, well above its stop. OPERATIONAL: contingent on the 09-18 card (@162.02, MOO 09-21 open 163.17). Close 167.39 = + / +1.11 ATR if filled. Not PROFIT_ARMED. Hold the stop at 160.31 and never lower it to the live 157.19. The live row is ANTIC 61 (1 print, Payoff_4W 0.27x), so the card is not re-issued if unfilled. |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 210.81 | WATCH | 210.81 | 207.20 | 211.38 (+0.3%) | 214.49 (+1.7%) | 216.59 (+2.7%) | Biotech flipped to BUY at the top of the board's conviction ranking on a +1.76% day. But the four-week estimate pays only about 1x the risk, so there is not enough reward for the stop. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv75, bias -2 -> adj 73, Buy_Rank 1; trail AVOID65 -> NT0 -> AVOID65 -> BUY75. Payoff_4W (214.49-210.81)/3.61 = 1.02x < 1.5x (W3). Close near the day high (211.64). RE-ARM: BUY cv>=65 AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 747.46 | WATCH | 744.30 | 711.90 | 752.70 (+1.1%) | 756.18 (+1.6%) | 777.73 (+4.5%) | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100): anticipation has now printed in 2 of the last 3 sessions, but the close is already above the buy-stop, so an order would fill as a chase. The four-week estimate also barely covers the risk. OPERATIONAL: AnticipationUp_VCP cv73, close 747.46 > buy-stop 744.30; Payoff_4W 0.37x < 1.5x (W3); anticipate slot not filled. RE-ARM: an ANTIC print with the close back under the buy-stop AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 196.27 | WATCH | 195.43 | 185.37 | 197.61 (+1.1%) | 196.48 (+0.5%) | 209.48 (+7.2%) | Tech Select Sector SPDR: anticipation has now printed in 2 of the last 3 sessions, but the close is already above the buy-stop, so an order would fill as a chase. The four-week estimate also barely covers the risk. OPERATIONAL: AnticipationUp_VCP cv73, close 196.27 > buy-stop 195.43; Payoff_4W 0.10x < 1.5x (W3); anticipate slot not filled. RE-ARM: an ANTIC print with the close back under the buy-stop AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 66.72 | WATCH | 66.52 | 63.09 | 67.13 (+0.9%) | 66.57 (+0.1%) | 70.87 (+6.5%) | Global X AI & Tech ETF: anticipation has now printed in 2 of the last 3 sessions, but the close is already above the buy-stop, so an order would fill as a chase. The four-week estimate also barely covers the risk. OPERATIONAL: AnticipationUp_VCP cv78, close 66.72 > buy-stop 66.52; Payoff_4W 0.01x < 1.5x (W3); anticipate slot not filled. RE-ARM: an ANTIC print with the close back under the buy-stop AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 572.78 | WATCH | 564.07 | 507.92 | 576.06 (+2.1%) | 580.36 (+2.9%) | 575.75 (+2.1%) | iShares Semiconductor ETF: anticipation has now printed in 2 of the last 3 sessions, but the close is already above the buy-stop, so an order would fill as a chase. The four-week estimate also barely covers the risk. OPERATIONAL: AnticipationUp_VCP cv76, close 572.78 > buy-stop 564.07; Payoff_4W 0.29x < 1.5x (W3); anticipate slot not filled. RE-ARM: an ANTIC print with the close back under the buy-stop AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 607.46 | WATCH | 600.41 | 546.72 | 606.45 (+1.0%) | 623.44 (+3.8%) | 633.48 (+5.5%) | VanEck Semiconductor ETF: anticipation has now printed in 2 of the last 3 sessions, but the close is already above the buy-stop, so an order would fill as a chase. The four-week estimate also barely covers the risk. OPERATIONAL: AnticipationUp_VCP cv88, close 607.46 > buy-stop 600.41; Payoff_4W 0.43x < 1.5x (W3); anticipate slot not filled. RE-ARM: an ANTIC print with the close back under the buy-stop AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 773.38 | WATCH | 776.01 | 754.67 | 776.52 (+0.1%) | 781.51 (+0.7%) | 792.51 (+2.1%) | SPDR S&P 500 ETF: first anticipation print, and the four-week estimate does not pay for the stop. OPERATIONAL: AnticipationUp_VCP cv80, prints (slot needs 2); Payoff_4W 0.26x < 1.5x. RE-ARM: a 2nd ANTIC print with the close under the buy-stop AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 154.43 | WATCH | 153.51 | 144.27 | 155.63 (+1.4%) | 158.87 (+3.5%) | 162.75 (+6.0%) | Defiance Quantum ETF: first anticipation print, and the four-week estimate does not pay for the stop. OPERATIONAL: AnticipationUp_VCP cv70, prints (slot needs 2); Payoff_4W 0.58x < 1.5x. RE-ARM: a 2nd ANTIC print with the close under the buy-stop AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| XBI | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | 161.87 | WATCH | 161.87 | 158.42 | 162.50 (+0.4%) | 164.79 (+1.8%) | 174.10 (+7.6%) | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF: turned from AVOID to WATCH, but it is below the 65 conviction floor. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D WATCH cv55, bias -2. RE-ARM: BUY cv>=65 AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| XLV | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | 169.89 | WATCH | 169.89 | 167.87 | 170.09 (+0.1%) | 169.71 (-0.1%) | 170.03 (+0.1%) | Health Care Select Sector SPDR: turned from AVOID to WATCH, but it is below the 65 conviction floor. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D WATCH cv54, bias -2. RE-ARM: BUY cv>=65 AND Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 30.35 | WATCH | 30.35 | 31.49 | 30.37 (+0.1%) | 31.67 (+4.3%) | 37.20 (+22.6%) | Destiny Tech100 Inc: bearish signal on a long-only book, and it is not held. OPERATIONAL: RallySell_BearTrend AVOID cv51. |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 400.07 | WATCH | 400.07 | 400.07 | 401.95 (+0.5%) | 420.25 (+5.0%) | 435.09 (+8.8%) | SPDR Gold Shares ETF: bearish signal on a long-only book, and it is not held. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID cv57; Stop == Entry, blank target (X7). |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 112.33 | WATCH | 112.33 | 112.33 | 112.71 (+0.3%) | 112.84 (+0.5%) | 113.91 (+1.4%) | Consumer Discretionary SPDR: bearish signal on a long-only book, and it is not held. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID cv75; Stop == Entry, blank target (X7). |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 44.24 | WATCH | 44.24 | 44.24 | 44.64 (+0.9%) | 45.75 (+3.4%) | 49.19 (+11.2%) | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech): bearish signal on a long-only book, and it is not held. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID cv65; Stop == Entry, blank target (X7). |
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Russell 2000 ETF: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Financial Select Sector SPDR: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. XLF -1.97%, RSI 29.9. |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Industrial Select Sector SPDR: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. |
| — | Consumer Staples SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Consumer Staples SPDR: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
58 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.216 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.