Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION (ACQUIRE 0 / DISPOSE 0; anticipate slot empty)
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 72.08 | WATCH | 72.08 | 71.94 | 72.54 (+0.6%) | 72.98 (+1.2%) | 77.28 (+7.2%) | The Magnificent Seven basket slipped 0.7% in a rates-led tech sell-off and closed only 0.14 above its stop, which the intraday low (71.92) touched. If yesterday's buy filled at the open (~72.79) with a resting stop, it was stopped by 2 cents; otherwise hold on and do not add. OPERATIONAL: 09-22 card BUY @72.57 MOO 09-23; open 72.79 (+0.30%, no gap); JSON still (ADR-0019). Branch A (stop resting): out ~71.94 = -. Branch B (held): close 72.08 = -, keep stop 71.94 (never lower to live 71.43). Live BUY 69 / adj 67 NOT re-issued: Payoff_4W 1.38x < 1.5x (W3) and it would double- an unrecorded lot (W6/L7). · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 167.54 | WATCH | 168.59 | 160.31 | 168.84 (+0.1%) | 171.82 (+1.9%) | 177.49 (+5.3%) | Cloud software was flat (+0.09%) on a down tape, so an unrecorded 09-21 fill stays about 2.7% in profit and well above its stop. OPERATIONAL: contingent on the 09-18 card (@162.02, MOO 09-21 ~163.17). Close 167.54 = +if filled; +1.17 ATR, not armed; keep stop 160.31 (never lower to live 157.38). Live ANTIC 61, Payoff_4W 0.29x - not re-issued. |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 62.37 | WATCH | 62.37 | 63.66 | 62.76 (+0.6%) | 65.24 (+4.6%) | 63.95 (+2.5%) | Energy bounced 1% but closed below its stop for a third straight session; if the position is still held, sell it at the next open. OPERATIONAL: contingent on the 09-21 fill @63.17. Close 62.37 < stop 63.66 (0.95 ATR under); WATCH 59, below floor. L2/L3: SELL 153 at the 09-24 open if held; record trade sell or trade skip. |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 767.81 | WATCH | 767.81 | 764.28 | 770.20 (+0.3%) | 775.08 (+0.9%) | 786.84 (+2.5%) | The S&P 500 fund printed a fresh buy after a rates-driven down day and has the best reward-to-risk on the board, but its conviction lands one point short of the bar after the family's scorecard discount. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv66 -> adj 64 (SE-1 -2); adj 64 < 65 floor; Payoff_4W 2.06x passes. Close 767.81, stop 764.28 (0.50-ATR constant, W5). Re-arm: BUY with adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 741.21 | WATCH | 741.21 | 735.96 | 745.88 (+0.6%) | 743.63 (+0.3%) | 767.35 (+3.5%) | The Nasdaq-100 fund printed a buy on a 0.8% pullback, but the four-week estimate covers under half the risk to its tight stop, so the reward doesn't justify the entry yet. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv69 -> adj 67 (SE-1 -2); Payoff_4W 0.46x < 1.5x (W3). Close 741.21, stop 735.96 (0.50-ATR constant, W5). Re-arm: BUY with adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 565.72 | WATCH | 565.72 | 556.65 | 568.52 (+0.5%) | 571.70 (+1.1%) | 575.93 (+1.8%) | Semiconductors flipped to a buy on a 1.2% pullback, but the four-week estimate covers well under the risk to the stop. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv68 -> adj 66 (SE-1 -2); Payoff_4W 0.66x < 1.5x (W3). Close 565.72, stop 556.65 (0.50-ATR constant, W5). Re-arm: BUY with adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 601.41 | WATCH | 601.41 | 592.88 | 600.74 (-0.1%) | 606.16 (+0.8%) | 642.76 (+6.9%) | Semiconductors flipped to a buy on a 1% pullback, but the four-week estimate covers well under the risk to the stop. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv68 -> adj 66 (SE-1 -2); Payoff_4W 0.56x < 1.5x (W3). Close 601.41, stop 592.88 (0.50-ATR constant, W5). Re-arm: BUY with adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 195.34 | WATCH | 195.44 | 184.90 | 196.96 (+0.8%) | 194.89 (-0.3%) | 207.20 (+6.0%) | Tech Select Sector SPDR pulled back below its breakout trigger, so a buy-stop would no longer fill as a chase, but the four-week estimate does not clear the entry, so the setup isn't worth queuing. OPERATIONAL: ANTIC cv73, close 195.34 < buy-stop 195.44 (re-arm leg 2 now met), Payoff_4W -0.05x < 1.5x (W3); anticipate counterfactual n=24 -4.82% [saved]. Re-arm: Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 152.45 | WATCH | 153.53 | 143.72 | 153.77 (+0.2%) | 155.83 (+1.5%) | 163.03 (+6.2%) | Defiance Quantum ETF pulled back below its breakout trigger, so a buy-stop would no longer fill as a chase, but the four-week estimate does not clear the entry, so the setup isn't worth queuing. OPERATIONAL: ANTIC cv69, close 152.45 < buy-stop 153.53 (re-arm leg 2 now met), Payoff_4W 0.23x < 1.5x (W3); anticipate counterfactual n=24 -4.82% [saved]. Re-arm: Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 65.99 | WATCH | 66.53 | 62.91 | 66.23 (-0.5%) | 65.67 (-1.3%) | 68.41 (+2.8%) | Global X AI & Tech ETF pulled back below its breakout trigger, so a buy-stop would no longer fill as a chase, but the four-week estimate does not clear the entry, so the setup isn't worth queuing. OPERATIONAL: ANTIC cv69, close 65.99 < buy-stop 66.53 (re-arm leg 2 now met), Payoff_4W -0.24x < 1.5x (W3); anticipate counterfactual n=24 -4.82% [saved]. Re-arm: Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 82.43 | WATCH | 82.43 | 82.43 | 82.53 (+0.1%) | 82.39 (-0.0%) | 83.01 (+0.7%) | Consumer Staples SPDR carries a bearish setup (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, no action. OPERATIONAL: AVOID cv75, close 82.43 (-0.36%), RSI 39.1. X7: Stop == Entry, blank Target_Price. |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 43.27 | WATCH | 43.27 | 43.27 | 43.64 (+0.9%) | 45.44 (+5.0%) | 48.52 (+12.1%) | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) carries a bearish setup (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, no action. OPERATIONAL: AVOID cv63, close 43.27 (-2.19%), RSI 43.7. X7: Stop == Entry, blank Target_Price. |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 110.65 | WATCH | 110.65 | 110.65 | 111.35 (+0.6%) | 110.96 (+0.3%) | 112.67 (+1.8%) | Consumer Discretionary SPDR carries a bearish setup (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, no action. OPERATIONAL: AVOID cv60, close 110.65 (-1.50%), RSI 38.6. X7: Stop == Entry, blank Target_Price. |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 206.60 | WATCH | 206.60 | 206.60 | 207.34 (+0.4%) | 210.13 (+1.7%) | 211.14 (+2.2%) | iShares Biotech ETF carries a bearish setup (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, no action. OPERATIONAL: AVOID cv59, close 206.60 (-2.00%), RSI 52.5. X7: Stop == Entry, blank Target_Price. |
| XLV | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | 168.80 | WATCH | 168.80 | 168.80 | 168.74 (-0.0%) | 168.49 (-0.2%) | 168.66 (-0.1%) | Health Care Select Sector SPDR carries a bearish setup (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, no action. OPERATIONAL: AVOID cv54, close 168.80 (-0.64%), RSI 51.0. X7: Stop == Entry, blank Target_Price. |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 29.73 | WATCH | 29.73 | 31.22 | 29.81 (+0.3%) | 31.07 (+4.5%) | 36.00 (+21.1%) | Destiny Tech100 Inc carries a bearish setup (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only book, no action. OPERATIONAL: AVOID cv51, close 29.73 (-2.04%), RSI 42.9. |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 392.88 | WATCH | 392.88 | 392.88 | 392.11 (-0.2%) | 410.82 (+4.6%) | 412.67 (+5.0%) | SPDR Gold Shares ETF carries a bearish setup (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only book, no action. OPERATIONAL: AVOID cv45, close 392.88 (-1.80%), RSI 44.4. X7: Stop == Entry, blank Target_Price. |
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 514.30 (-0.71%), RSI 38.0. |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Russell 2000 ETF: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 281.92 (-1.84%), RSI 34.4. |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Financial Select Sector SPDR: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 54.54 (-0.47%), RSI 28.4. |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Industrial Select Sector SPDR: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 170.10 (-0.10%), RSI 35.8. |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 155.20 (-4.12%), RSI 43.6. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
59 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.247 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.