Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION (ACQUIRE 0 / DISPOSE 0; anticipate slot empty)
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 209.25 | WATCH | 209.25 | 205.63 | 210.04 (+0.4%) | 213.38 (+2.0%) | 218.77 (+4.5%) | iShares Biotech ETF prints a fresh at-market buy, but the four-week estimate barely clears the entry relative to the stop, so the reward does not justify the risk. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv75 -> adj 73 (SE-1 -2); Payoff_4W 1.14x < 1.5x (W3). Entry 209.25, stop 205.63 (constant-width 0.50-ATR, W5). Close 209.25 (+1.28%), RSI 56.4. Re-arm: BUY adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 72.51 | WATCH | 72.51 | 71.94 | 72.77 (+0.4%) | 73.33 (+1.1%) | 77.43 (+6.8%) | The Magnificent Seven basket opened below its stop and then recovered to close at 72.51. A resting stop on the unrecorded 09- would have filled at the ~71.51 open; without one, hold on and do not add. OPERATIONAL: 09-22 card BUY @72.57 MOO 09-23 (open 72.79); JSON still (ADR-0019). Branch A (stopped 09-@71.94) = -. Branch A' (resting stop placed after 09-23, gap-fill at the 09-24 open 71.51) = -, which is the conservative NAV branch (V7). Branch B (no stop): close 72.51 = -, keep 71.94. Live BUY 75 / adj 73 NOT re-issued: Payoff_4W 0.81x < 1.5x (W3) + double- risk (W6/L7). Close 72.51 (+0.60%), RSI 65.8. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 65.98 | WATCH | 65.98 | 65.30 | 66.20 (+0.3%) | 65.05 (-1.4%) | 68.59 (+4.0%) | Global X AI & Tech ETF prints a fresh at-market buy, but the four-week estimate barely clears the entry relative to the stop, so the reward does not justify the risk. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv69 -> adj 67 (SE-1 -2); Payoff_4W -1.37x < 1.5x (W3). Entry 65.98, stop 65.30 (constant-width 0.50-ATR, W5). Close 65.98 (-0.02%), RSI 62.0. Re-arm: BUY adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 566.07 | WATCH | 566.07 | 553.24 | 568.36 (+0.4%) | 566.83 (+0.1%) | 573.37 (+1.3%) | iShares Semiconductor ETF prints a fresh at-market buy, but the four-week estimate barely clears the entry relative to the stop, so the reward does not justify the risk. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv69 -> adj 67 (SE-1 -2); Payoff_4W 0.06x < 1.5x (W3). Entry 566.07, stop 553.24 (constant-width 0.50-ATR, W5). Close 566.07 (+0.06%), RSI 62.1. Re-arm: BUY adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 194.71 | WATCH | 194.71 | 192.62 | 196.37 (+0.9%) | 194.91 (+0.1%) | 208.00 (+6.8%) | Tech Select Sector SPDR prints a fresh at-market buy, but the four-week estimate barely clears the entry relative to the stop, so the reward does not justify the risk. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv69 -> adj 67 (SE-1 -2); Payoff_4W 0.1x < 1.5x (W3). Entry 194.71, stop 192.62 (constant-width 0.50-ATR, W5). Close 194.71 (-0.32%), RSI 64.3. Re-arm: BUY adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 600.52 | WATCH | 600.52 | 588.92 | 598.78 (-0.3%) | 602.23 (+0.3%) | 638.72 (+6.4%) | VanEck Semiconductor ETF prints a fresh at-market buy, but the four-week estimate barely clears the entry relative to the stop, so the reward does not justify the risk. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D BUY cv68 -> adj 66 (SE-1 -2); Payoff_4W 0.15x < 1.5x (W3). Entry 600.52, stop 588.92 (constant-width 0.50-ATR, W5). Close 600.52 (-0.15%), RSI 61.0. Re-arm: BUY adj>=65 AND Payoff_4W>=1.5x. |
| — | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 512.68 (-0.31%), RSI 36.7. |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 29.14 | WATCH | 29.14 | 30.15 | 29.73 (+2.0%) | 30.82 (+5.8%) | 34.93 (+19.9%) | Destiny Tech100 Inc: the engine flags a bearish setup, and this long-only book does nothing. OPERATIONAL: RallySell_BearTrend AVOID cv51. Close 29.14 (-1.98%), RSI 40.7. |
| — | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR S&P 500 ETF: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 767.18 (-0.08%), RSI 52.5. |
| — | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100): the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 741.10 (-0.01%), RSI 63.1. |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | iShares Russell 2000 ETF: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 281.66 (-0.09%), RSI 34.1. |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 391.69 | WATCH | 391.69 | 391.69 | 392.97 (+0.3%) | 411.37 (+5.0%) | 415.75 (+6.1%) | SPDR Gold Shares ETF: the engine flags a bearish setup, and this long-only book does nothing. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID cv45. Close 391.69 (-0.30%), RSI 43.6. |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 166.91 | WATCH | 166.91 | 160.31 | 167.63 (+0.4%) | 169.06 (+1.3%) | 176.79 (+5.9%) | The cloud fund held well above its stop, but conviction fell from, so keep the stop and watch for signal degradation. OPERATIONAL: contingent 09-21 MOO ~163.17 x61 = + (+1.1 ATR, not armed). WATCH cv39 (-22 pts; not a fire tick because the position is not armed). Exit on 2 NO TRADE/Conflicted prints or a close below 160.31. Close 166.91 (-0.38%), RSI 60.4. · news |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 156.05 (+0.55%), RSI 45.3. |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Financial Select Sector SPDR: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 54.53 (-0.02%), RSI 28.4. |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 62.60 | WATCH | — | 63.66 | 62.99 | 65.22 | 64.83 | The energy fund is still under its stop (the fourth close below it) and has dropped to no-trade, so the exit case stands. If the contingent sale ran at the 09-24 open, it filled at ~63.07; if the position is still held, sell at the 09-25 open. OPERATIONAL: contingent SELL 153 (L2/L3 decisive stop break); a fill at the 09-24 open of 63.07 = proceeds. NO TRADE cv0 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 62.60 (+0.37%), RSI 47.3. · news |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Industrial Select Sector SPDR: the engine sees no tradeable setup. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0, 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'. Close 168.83 (-0.75%), RSI 32.9. |
| XLV | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | 169.87 | WATCH | 169.87 | 169.87 | 170.15 (+0.2%) | 169.78 (-0.1%) | 169.51 (-0.2%) | Health Care Select Sector SPDR: the engine flags a bearish setup, and this long-only book does nothing. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID cv54. Close 169.87 (+0.63%), RSI 54.4. |
| XLP | Consumer Staples SPDR | 81.70 | WATCH | 81.70 | 83.59 | 81.65 (-0.1%) | 82.00 (+0.4%) | 83.50 (+2.2%) | Consumer Staples SPDR: the engine flags a bearish setup, and this long-only book does nothing. OPERATIONAL: RallySell_BearTrend AVOID cv56. Close 81.70 (-0.89%), RSI 35.8. |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 110.32 | WATCH | 110.32 | 110.32 | 111.38 (+1.0%) | 110.37 (+0.0%) | 112.58 (+2.0%) | Consumer Discretionary SPDR: the engine flags a bearish setup, and this long-only book does nothing. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID cv60. Close 110.32 (-0.30%), RSI 37.7. |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 43.42 | WATCH | 43.42 | 43.42 | 43.88 (+1.1%) | 45.79 (+5.5%) | 49.23 (+13.4%) | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech): the engine flags a bearish setup, and this long-only book does nothing. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID cv75. Close 43.42 (+0.35%), RSI 44.8. |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | 152.47 | WATCH | 152.47 | 150.53 | 153.59 (+0.7%) | 155.08 (+1.7%) | 165.27 (+8.4%) | Defiance Quantum ETF is on watch with conviction below the buy bar. OPERATIONAL: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D WATCH cv57 -> adj 55; Payoff_4W 1.35x. Close 152.47 (+0.01%), RSI 58.0. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
59 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.275 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.