US — End-of-Day Verdict
DISPOSE: NVDA 30@~203.53 + SNDK 5@~1673.97 (ADR-0012 profit-takes, armed+dead-forward; keep 70/10). ACQUIRE: NO ACTION (whole buy pool fails fusion; overlay de-risk into 07-14 CPI). GOOGL/KLAC/LLY/MU/NBIS/GLW holds (armed-not-fired trail-raises; MU marginal breach held per US-12). SPCX muted (lock-up concern; stop 135).
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 203.53 | SELL 30% | 203.53 | 196.50 | 204.09 (+0.3%) | 201.89 (-0.8%) | 202.89 (-0.3%) | ADR-0012 profit-take: at its 12-week target with a now-flat-to-down forward, banked a third into a broad AI/memory chip selloff (SK Hynix slump) and today's CPI print, keeping the core intact. Armed (T12_prog 100.32%) + 1 tick (c) dead forward (Est_4W/12W < close). First executed NVDA fire (prior 07-03..07-11 fires withdrawn as forward oscillated; US-19 first-fire). Val neutral (MoS -2.03 >-3, G2-suppressed). Keep 70, trail 196.50. Proceeds. · news |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1673.97 | SELL 30% | 1673.97 | 1520.00 | 1671.11 (-0.2%) | 1640.66 (-2.0%) | 1432.01 (-14.5%) | ADR-0012 profit-take (re-affirm of 07-11, not executed; L3): banked a slice of a +635%-YTD, 117%-of-target winner as the model's forward turned sharply negative (12wk -14.4%), while holding the 10-share core on the intact NAND/Meta-deal thesis. Armed (T12_prog 116.90%) + tick (c) dead forward. Val amplify G2-suppressed (T12 1432 > DCF 1005; hyper-growth) -> stays 30%. Keep 10, trail 1520. Proceeds. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 352.51 | HOLD | — | 345.00 | 353.74 | 371.15 | 379.63 | Hold and trail through 07-22 Q2 earnings — armed but zero fire ticks (forward +7.7% alive, conviction rose off the 07-11 lone STRONG SELL-REDUCE flip, no stop break; US-18). Overlay catalyst-hold, no pre-trim, close-below-345 invalidation. Trail-raise, not a trim. |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 222.25 | HOLD | — | 210.15 | 224.20 | 225.06 | 232.16 | Hold the +26.5% winner and trail — NO TRADE cv0 is the signal going quiet, not a sell basis (US-17); the cv drop from 55 is the NO-TRADE-cv0 artifact. Armed (T12_prog 95.73%) but forward +4.5% alive and only the 1st NO-TRADE close -> armed-not-fired trail-raise. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1181.87 | HOLD | — | 1106.00 | 1191.17 | 1213.66 | 1256.04 | Hold — armed (T12_prog 94.09%) HOLD cv58 on the bankable PullbackBuy cell, forward +6.3% alive. Stop reset to a 2xATR chandelier 1106 (the carried 1180.30 was ~0.1% from close, a false-stop). Overlay hard invalidation 975. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 937.00 | HOLD | — | 855.00 | 942.15 | 986.76 | 959.42 | Hold — the marginal 1.13% stop dip is the sector selloff (SK Hynix), not an HBM crack: 2026 HBM sold out, HBM4 ramping, durable pricing power intact (overlay invalidation not triggered; US-12 sector-break -> hold). +9.5%, forward +2.4%. Stop reset to breakeven 855 (carried 947.75 sat above close = degenerate). Decisive-break trigger: close < 855 or an HBM crack. · news |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 210.51 | HOLD | — | 200.00 | 212.17 | 225.24 | 242.37 | Hold the core — NO TRADE cv0 x4 (never a dispose basis; US-17), flat but forward +15.1%, no stop break. Overlay: keep core, no adds until the Meta-cloud question clears. |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated | 183.11 | HOLD | — | 182.33 | 185.29 | 190.50 | 211.95 | Hold — close 183.11 is just 0.4% above the 182.33 stop (watch), but NO TRADE cv0 with forward +15.7% and no decisive stop break is never a dispose basis (US-17). Hold on the stop. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | — | HOLD | — | 135.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hold on the manual 135 stop; private, no public quote so muted on signals but always news-assessed. News CONCERN: insider lock-up is the live overhang — first ~20% slice frees after Q2 results late July, ~7% tranches monthly Aug-Oct, eligible through end-Oct. Auto-unmute when it appears in the scan with a non-null Close. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
67 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.071 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
23 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.