Recommendations
2 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 188.32 | SELL 30% | 188.32 | 174.01 | 189.70 (+0.7%) | 193.07 (+2.5%) | 168.10 (-10.7%) | KLA's protective stop has walked 36% below its peak while the position was never cut, so the risk-discipline rule mandates a 30% trim; the 12-week view is also negative (-10.7%). OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched, 1st fire, veto-immune; pinned at 30% (US-39, no SSR for US-87). Amplify inapplicable (US-78). Residual 700 on 174.01. 16th unexecuted session (US-37). · news |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1170.14 | SELL 30% | 1170.14 | 1122.31 | 1181.83 (+1.0%) | 1153.79 (-1.4%) | 1206.55 (+3.1%) | Lilly printed a fourth consecutive settled STRONG SELL - REDUCE and its 4-week view is below the close, so we trim 30% and keep the core on a raised stop; the Foundayo expansion news is supportive but not a dated catalyst. OPERATIONAL: 12wk leg +1.89% -> +3.11% (clears 1.02x band, stated per US-86; not the origination, blocks escalation). SSR cv decaying ->65. Trail 1118.86->1122.31. Avg_Cost blank (US-55). · news |
| VIST | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de | 69.42 | SELL 50% | 69.42 | 71.84⚠ | 69.75 (+0.5%) | 69.37 (-0.1%) | 72.05 (+3.8%) | Vista closed decisively below its stop for a second straight session as a -9.6% loser, firing the written stop-loss pre-commitment to cut half; the stock screens cheap and the 12-week view is still positive, so the core is kept. OPERATIONAL: 69.42 vs 71.84 = -3.37% (US-44); pre-commit tier fixed at issuance (US-88), UNDERVALUED down-tier declined. Next: full exit of residual on settled close <=68.82, 12wk < close (L2), or still <71.84 at EOD on us_signals_20260926_06001x.csv; self-heals >71.84. · news |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 236.12 | NO ACTION | 236.12 | 234.32 | 237.03 (+0.4%) | 253.77 (+7.5%) | 320.50 (+35.7%) | Nebius still carries a latched risk-discipline trim mandate, but it was crowded out of tonight's three disposal slots because it reclaimed its stop with a bullish HOLD and +36% 12-week view. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched since 09-01 (US-73), veto-immune; displaced by <=3 cap (US-62). Re-committed: DISPOSE at EOD on us_signals_20260924_06001x.csv with priority over non-mandatory cards; immediate on any settled close <=230.81. |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 452.00 | BUY — QUEUED @446.74 | 446.74 | 431.38 | 455.79 (+2.0%) | 472.08 (+5.7%) | 487.74 (+9.2%) | TSMC has printed three straight bullish settled closes on the book's best-performing buy signal, with surging revenue confirming, so we queue a half-size limit at the model entry rather than chase. OPERATIONAL: repriced from 09- gtc_stop 445.28 (crossed 09-22; if filled, cancel this). EDist -0.51 -> queued (US-64 limit). val_adj -10 (S24 ADR mis-scale suspected), size x0.5. Stop manual 1.5 ATR. CONDITIONAL ON US-56. · news |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 623.77 | BUY-STOP — QUEUED @619.53 | 619.53 | 576.86 | 631.55 (+1.9%) | 649.14 (+4.8%) | 696.93 (+12.5%) | AMD has flagged an anticipation setup on two of the last three closes and just hit a record $1T valuation on AI CPU demand, so we take a small quarter-size anticipate position at the model entry. OPERATIONAL: anticipate slot (2/3 settled, cv75>=55); entry below close -> gtc_limit (US-64); val_adj suppressed US-41 (4.0x); size x0.5 mod x0.5 slot. Supersedes WATCH 560.50. Stop manual 1.5 ATR. CONDITIONAL ON US-56. · news |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 196.62 | NO ACTION | 196.62 | 178.01 | 197.03 (+0.2%) | 201.46 (+2.5%) | 193.90 (-1.4%) | Okta is an armed winner whose 12-week view has fallen below the price, but we hold through this week's Oktane investor summit and pre-commit a 30% trim afterward if that persists. OPERATIONAL: tick (c) fires (193.90<200.55, Gain-limb arm); tick (a) RSI_DIV downgraded by G1 (fresh MomentumContinuation cv93) -> 30% not 50% (US-32/US-88). Fires at EOD on us_signals_20260925_06001x.csv. Trail 172.70->178.01. STRONG BUY - ADD declined. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 351.16 | HOLD | 351.16 | 342.20 | 353.44 (+0.6%) | 356.14 (+1.4%) | 365.31 (+4.0%) | Alphabet slipped to NO TRADE but no profit-take tick has fired and the 12-week view is still positive, so we hold on the existing stop. OPERATIONAL: HOLD65->NO TRADE0 is a label change (US-49); 1st settled NO TRADE (US-71). 30% re-commitment live through EOD on us_signals_20260924_06001x.csv. Trail held 342.20 (US-65). |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1096.16 | HOLD | 1096.16 | 999.65 | 1103.71 (+0.7%) | 1138.13 (+3.8%) | 1423.60 (+29.9%) | Micron jumped 5% with a +30% 12-week view and no deterioration tick, so we ride it toward the 09- earnings and raise the stop. OPERATIONAL: HOLD83->AVOID65 label change (US-49); printed 1193.76 short's stop declined (US-29). Trail 976.11->999.65 (1.98 ATR under). |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 353.00 | HOLD | 353.00 | 318.02 | 355.06 (+0.6%) | 350.84 (-0.6%) | 395.07 (+11.9%) | Cloudflare holds its 52-week breakout with no deterioration tick, so we keep the position and raise the stop. OPERATIONAL: armed Gain_ATR 4.12, no tick; trail 310.25->318.02. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 154.72 | HOLD | 154.72 | 144.35 | 152.84 (-1.2%) | 159.45 (+3.1%) | 174.29 (+12.6%) | SpaceX holds through Thursday's lock-up tranche on its pre-set stop; the NO TRADE label is not a sell basis on its own. OPERATIONAL: HOLD71->NO TRADE0 label change (US-49), 1st settled print; (c) fails. Lock-up 09-24 hold-through. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 228.87 | HOLD | 228.87 | 220.48 | 230.30 (+0.6%) | 230.09 (+0.5%) | 237.14 (+3.6%) | Nvidia firmed to HOLD cv78 with no exit condition, so it is held on its stop. OPERATIONAL: Avg_Cost blank 8th week (US-55); T12-limb arm declined (US-66). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
239 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.356 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.