Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 187.86 | SELL 30% | 187.86 | 174.01 | 189.41 (+0.8%) | 192.91 (+2.7%) | 169.24 (-9.9%) | KLA's risk line has fallen 36% below its peak stop while the position was never cut, and the signal is still AVOID with a negative 12-week view, so a mandatory 30% trim is due. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched 1st fire, veto-immune, pinned 30% (US-39); 17th unexecuted session (US-37); amplify inapplicable (US-78); residual 700 on 174.01. · news |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 226.61 | SELL 30% | 226.61 | 234.32⚠ | 227.43 (+0.4%) | 248.02 (+9.4%) | 289.16 (+27.6%) | Nebius closed decisively (-3.3%) under its stop as its convertible settled; a trail-erosion trim fired weeks ago and was never executed, so the 30% cut is mandatory despite a positive forward view. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched (US-73), US-62 re-commitment fired on both limbs (EOD file + close <=230.81); residual 140 on 234.32 (not lowered, US-58); L2 full exit if 12wk turns negative under 230.81. · news |
| VIST | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. | 70.25 | SELL 50% | 70.25 | 71.84⚠ | 70.59 (+0.5%) | 70.00 (-0.4%) | 73.47 (+4.6%) | Vista has closed below its stop for a third straight session as a loser (-8.5%), so the pre-committed half-position stop-loss stands even though valuation looks fair. OPERATIONAL: fired 09- pre-commit carried from 09-22; UNDERVALUED tier-down declined (tier fixed at issuance, US-88); full exit of residual if close <=68.82, 12wk < close, or still <71.84 at EOD on us_signals_20260926_06001x.csv. · news |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | 76.20 | BUY — QUEUED @74.93 | 74.93 | 71.86 | 76.44 (+2.0%) | 78.18 (+4.3%) | 81.77 (+9.1%) | Red Violet has strengthened over three settled closes into a STRONG BUY pullback setup with a quality pass, so a half-size limit is queued at the model entry rather than chasing the close. OPERATIONAL: val_adj suppressed (US-41, EPV/DCF 3.8x), size x0.5 (MoS -4.53); PullbackBuy cell -4 with stop-first.500 flagged (L1/US-74); CONDITIONAL ON US-56; risk. · news |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 205.36 | NO ACTION | 205.36 | 184.72 | 205.53 (+0.1%) | 208.83 (+1.7%) | 199.90 (-2.7%) | Okta's profit-take fired at 50% after its investor-summit catalyst passed: conviction fell 28 points and the 12-week view sits below the price, but the three-card cap pushed it to the next session. OPERATIONAL: armed Gain_ATR 5.83; ticks (b)+(c); G2 suppresses MoS bump; US-62 re-committed for us_signals_20260925_06001x.csv with priority, immediate at close <=184.72; de-escalate to 30% if one tick dissolves (US-32). · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 337.83 | NO ACTION | 337.83 | 342.20⚠ | 340.46 (+0.8%) | 341.06 (+1.0%) | 349.50 (+3.5%) | Alphabet fell 3.8% on AI-rotation pressure and closed under the price trigger of its pre-committed 30% profit-take; the cap displaced it to the next session with priority. OPERATIONAL: 09-18 tick (a) re-commitment fired on price limb (337.83 <= 340.88); stop 342.20 breached non-decisive (-1.28%); US-62 re-committed for us_signals_20260925_06001x.csv, immediate at close <=337.07. · news |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1071.88 | HOLD | 1071.88 | 1010.92 | 1080.51 (+0.8%) | 1083.81 (+1.1%) | 1283.42 (+19.7%) | Micron holds through its 09-30 earnings with a positive 12-week view; the stop is raised. OPERATIONAL: armed no tick; AVOID->HOLD label crossing (US-49); trail 999.65 -> 1010.92; catalyst hold (US-85). |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 352.33 | HOLD | 352.33 | 325.09 | 354.18 (+0.5%) | 351.05 (-0.4%) | 393.29 (+11.6%) | Cloudflare is a steady HOLD with a positive 12-week view; the trailing stop is raised. OPERATIONAL: armed Gain_ATR 3.99, no tick; trail 318.02 -> 325.09. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 148.36 | HOLD | 148.36 | 144.35 | 146.48 (-1.3%) | 153.47 (+3.4%) | 168.32 (+13.5%) | SpaceX holds through Thursday's lock-up tranche on its pre-set stop; the pre-event dip is the catalyst itself, not a new deterioration. OPERATIONAL: 2nd settled NO TRADE, tick (d) uncorroborated (US-71); 30% fires if 3rd NO TRADE + close <144.35 on us_signals_20260925_06001x.csv. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 225.51 | HOLD | 225.51 | 220.48 | 226.82 (+0.6%) | 226.74 (+0.5%) | 234.71 (+4.1%) | Nvidia holds on its stop with a positive 12-week view. OPERATIONAL: cv78 -> 62 (-16, <20); Avg_Cost blankth week (US-55); T12-limb arm declined (US-66). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
244 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.356 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.