Recommendations
2 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 187.11 | SELL 30% | 187.11 | 174.01 | 188.82 (+0.9%) | 193.04 (+3.2%) | 167.56 (-10.4%) | KLA's risk line has fallen 36% below its peak stop while the position was never cut, and the signal has printed AVOID for four sessions with a -10% 12-week view, so a mandatory 30% trim is due. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched 1st fire, veto-immune, pinned 30% (US-39); 18th unexecuted session (US-37); amplify inapplicable (US-78); residual 700 on 174.01. · news |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 243.48 | SELL 30% | 243.48 | 234.32 | 244.66 (+0.5%) | 267.56 (+9.9%) | 317.27 (+30.3%) | Nebius rallied 7% on a BNP upgrade and reclaimed its stop, but a risk-discipline trim fired weeks ago and the position was never cut, so the 30% cut is still owed; selling into strength gives a better price than the prior night. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched (US-73) - only an observed decrease discharges it; L2 full-exit leg lapsed (close > 230.81, 12wk +30%); residual 140 on 234.32. · news |
| VIST | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de | 68.30 | SELL ALL | 68.30 | 71.84⚠ | 68.54 (+0.4%) | 68.71 (+0.6%) | 71.46 (+4.6%) | Vista closed decisively below its stop for a fourth straight session and through the pre-committed 68.82 full-exit level, an 11% loser, so the whole position goes despite a fair valuation. OPERATIONAL: 09-23 written full-exit limb fired (close 68.30 <= 68.82); the unexecuted 50% card is superseded; UNDERVALUED tier-down declined (stop-loss exit, not a trim). · news |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 206.64 | NO ACTION | 206.64 | 189.90 | 206.87 (+0.1%) | 209.78 (+1.5%) | 199.62 (-3.4%) | Okta's profit-take (up 48%, conviction down from, 12-week view below the price) still stands at half the position but was pushed out by the three-sale cap. OPERATIONAL: armed + ticks (b),(c) per 09-23 de-escalation test; re-committed for us_signals_20260926_06001x.csv with priority; immediate at settled close <=189.90; lapses after EOD on us_signals_20260930_06001x.csv. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1181.89 | NO ACTION | 1181.89 | 1131.95 | 1187.59 (+0.5%) | 1185.45 (+0.3%) | 1213.60 (+2.7%) | Lilly printed a strong-sell signal again, re-arming a 30% trim, but it is a single print on an up day with a positive forward view and it was pushed out by the three-sale cap. OPERATIONAL: re-arm fired on label limb; tightened (US-34) to require a 2nd consecutive settled SELL-REDUCE on us_signals_20260926_06001x.csv or a settled close <=1114.97; lapses after EOD on us_signals_20260930_06001x.csv; EASD 09-28. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 342.36 | NO ACTION | 342.36 | 342.20 | 345.11 (+0.8%) | 343.03 (+0.2%) | 352.55 (+3.0%) | Alphabet's 30% profit-take (a 178% winner that flashed an RSI divergence) stands but was pushed out by the three-sale cap for a third session. OPERATIONAL: re-committed with priority for us_signals_20260926_06001x.csv; immediate at settled close <=337.07; dissolves on settled close >=347.33 with 12wk >1.02x (US-86); lapses after EOD on us_signals_20260930_06001x.csv. |
| META | Meta Platforms | 777.59 | BUY — QUEUED @771.94 | 771.94 | 672.67 | 776.10 (+0.5%) | 778.36 (+0.8%) | 835.58 (+8.2%) | Meta tops the buy ranking with a fresh strong-buy as its Muse AI agent drives a month-long run and a wave of analyst target raises; valuation is rich, so the order is 0.75x size and waits at the model entry just below the close rather than chasing an overbought print. OPERATIONAL: US-64 limit (entry < close; scan mislabels Buy Stop); RSI 80.5; US-16 floor met exactly (85); cell report-only n=3 hit.000; CONDITIONAL ON US-56. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 451.15 | BUY-STOP — QUEUED @453.92 | 453.92 | 422.77 | 452.52 (-0.3%) | 462.99 (+2.0%) | 485.63 (+7.0%) | TSMC is coiling just under a breakout on the book's most reliable setup (anticipation cell, 90% 1-week hit rate) with revenue up 53% YoY; a small buy-stop only fills if the breakout confirms. OPERATIONAL: anticipate slot, BA prints, 0.5x mod x 0.5x slot; val_adj suppressed (US-53 EPV); CONDITIONAL ON US-56 and on the 09-22 TSM fill being recorded (if TAKEN this becomes an ADD). · news |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1080.53 | HOLD | 1080.53 | 1015.02 | 1087.45 (+0.6%) | 1097.77 (+1.6%) | 1261.21 (+16.7%) | Micron holds through its 09-30 earnings with the trail raised; the trend and 12-week view remain positive. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 358.82 | HOLD | 358.82 | 328.31 | 361.98 (+0.9%) | 362.89 (+1.1%) | 400.50 (+11.6%) | Cloudflare holds on a strengthening anticipation setup; the trail is raised to lock in gains. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 148.03 | HOLD | 148.03 | 144.35 | 146.60 (-1.0%) | 153.23 (+3.5%) | 167.71 (+13.3%) | SpaceX absorbed its lock-up tranche and holds above its line; the NO TRADE trigger required a close under 144.35, which did not happen. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 224.58 | HOLD | 224.58 | 220.48 | 226.46 (+0.8%) | 224.93 (+0.2%) | 237.17 (+5.6%) | Nvidia holds above its line; a single NO TRADE print is not a sell basis. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
247 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.342 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.