Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 196.53 | SELL 30% | 196.53 | 174.01 | 197.34 (+0.4%) | 198.99 (+1.3%) | 188.67 (-4.0%) | KLA has run 3.9% into a risk line that has walked 36% below its July peak without the position ever being cut, and its 12-week view (188.67) sits below the close. Trimming 30% resets the risk. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 Trail Erosion latched first fire, veto-immune (US-36); pinned at 30% floor (US-39); AV0 is a label crossing, no US-87 escalation; residual on 174.01; 21st session unexecuted (US-37). |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 237.35 | SELL 30% | 237.35 | 234.32 | 240.68 (+1.4%) | 262.61 (+10.6%) | 314.48 (+32.5%) | Nebius reclaimed its 234.32 line (+2.4% to 237.35) ahead of the 1 Oct compute price rise, which heals the stop breach, but the latched risk-discipline trim from 1 Sep has never been executed. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched (US-73), veto-immune; 09-28 escalation pre-commit (<=230.81) DISSOLVED on the reclaim; H68 is a label crossing out of NT0; residual on 234.32. · news |
| VIST | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de | 66.71 | SELL ALL | 66.71 | 71.84⚠ | 67.24 (+0.8%) | 67.77 (+1.6%) | 69.72 (+4.5%) | Vista has closed below its 71.84 stop for a 7th straight session (66.71, -7.1% under the line, -13.1% on cost) and trades under its 20/50-day averages; the written full-exit stop-loss stands. OPERATIONAL: fired 09-24 full-exit limb; UNDERVALUED argue-down declined (stop-loss exit, not a trim); OPEC+ 10-05; US-106 owed disposition. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 340.92 | NO ACTION | 340.92 | 342.20⚠ | 341.72 (+0.2%) | 341.66 (+0.2%) | 357.64 (+4.9%) | Alphabet flipped to a lone STRONG SELL - REDUCE cv66 and closed 0.37% under its 342.20 line, but the break is not decisive and the 12-week view (+4.9%) is alive, so a single print on a +177% winner is held, not sold. OPERATIONAL: US-18/US-34 lone-flip bar; displaced 09-18 profit-take card LAPSED (time limb); NEW pre-commit SELL (30%) at a settled close <=337.07 OR a 2nd consecutive settled SSR on us_signals_20261001_06001x.csv; lapses after EOD on us_signals_20261002_06001x.csv; line held at 342.20 (US-58). · news |
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | 973.49 | NO ACTION | 973.49 | 934.51 | 983.80 (+1.1%) | 1035.20 (+6.3%) | 1353.24 (+39.0%) | Lumentum printed a fresh STRONG BUY cv86 (Buy_Rank 1) on a +5.7% day, but the quality screen fails (F-Score 5) and the book is still under the US-56 acquire veto, so it is a watch, not a buy. OPERATIONAL: quality gate blocks new entries; US- override declined (negative EPV is not demonstrably a parse error; assumption); re-arm on a 2nd settled SB >=85 at a non-extended entry once US-37 clears. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1065.08 | HOLD | 1065.08 | 1022.05 | 1074.20 (+0.9%) | 1049.94 (-1.4%) | 1112.40 (+4.4%) | Micron reports FQ4 after the close on 30 Sep (guide / EPS); it closed +1.1% at 1065.08, armed but with no deterioration tick, so it is held through the print. OPERATIONAL: catalyst hold (US-85); line held 1022.05; pre-commit exit case at a decisive post-print settled close <=1006.72. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1184.63 | HOLD | 1184.63 | 1131.95 | 1193.08 (+0.7%) | 1189.88 (+0.4%) | 1234.81 (+4.2%) | Lilly is flat at 1184.63 into the EASD TRIUMPH-2 retatrutide readout on 30 Sep; hold through the catalyst. OPERATIONAL: H75->H62 same family, drop <20 (no tick b); Avg_Cost blank (US-55); line 1131.95. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 352.26 | HOLD | 352.26 | 334.23 | 353.62 (+0.4%) | 353.48 (+0.3%) | 394.82 (+12.1%) | Cloudflare holds above all its moving averages with a +12% 12-week view; a 3rd quiet NO TRADE print is not deterioration, so the stop is raised. OPERATIONAL: tick (d) uncorroborated (US-71); trail 330.29 -> 334.23 (2.0x ATR 16.60 off 367.43; 1.08 ATR under close). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 227.21 | HOLD | 227.21 | 220.48 | 228.77 (+0.7%) | 234.47 (+3.2%) | 243.57 (+7.2%) | Nvidia slipped 0.7% and dropped to NO TRADE, a label change rather than deterioration; the 12-week view (+7.2%) stays positive. OPERATIONAL: HOLD75->NT0 label crossing (US-49); Avg_Cost blank (US-55); line 220.48. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 149.24 | HOLD | 149.24 | 144.35 | 147.86 (-0.9%) | 154.46 (+3.5%) | 167.48 (+12.2%) | SpaceX rose 2.6% to 149.24, 3.4% above its line, with a +12% 12-week view; hold. OPERATIONAL: 6th NT0 (uncorroborated, US-71); chandelier 147.67 would sit inside 1 ATR, so no raise (US-65); line 144.35. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
259 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.310 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.