Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 194.93 | SELL 30% | 194.93 | 174.01 | 196.28 (+0.7%) | 194.88 (-0.0%) | 187.93 (-3.6%) | KLA's risk line has walked 36% below its July peak without the position ever being cut, and its 12-week view (187.93) still sits below the 194.93 close. A 30% trim resets the risk. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 Trail Erosion latched first fire, veto-immune (US-36); pinned at the 30% floor (US-39); AV0->NT0 is a label crossing, so no US-87 escalation; residual on 174.01; 22nd session unexecuted (US-37). |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 235.88 | SELL 30% | 235.88 | 234.32 | 238.55 (+1.1%) | 261.11 (+10.7%) | 307.26 (+30.3%) | Nebius is holding just above its 234.32 line (235.88), but the risk-discipline trim that fired on 1 Sep has never been executed. The mandate stays latched until the position is actually cut. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched (US-73), veto-immune; H68->NT0 is a label crossing; residual on 234.32. |
| VIST | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de | 65.35 | SELL ALL | 65.35 | 71.84⚠ | 65.78 (+0.7%) | 66.37 (+1.6%) | 69.98 (+7.1%) | Vista has closed below its 71.84 stop for an 8th straight session (65.35, -9.0% under the line, -14.9% on cost), so the written stop-loss exit stands despite a cheap valuation. OPERATIONAL: full-exit limb fired 09-24; UNDERVALUED argue-down declined (stop-loss exit, not a trim); OPEC+ 10-05. |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 209.11 | NO ACTION | 209.11 | 192.60 | 212.24 (+1.5%) | 214.51 (+2.6%) | 220.17 (+5.3%) | Okta is up ~50% on cost and printed an RSI divergence while armed, which fires a 30% profit-take. The <=3 dispose cap displaced it behind three unexecuted cards. OPERATIONAL: armed (Gain_ATR 6.96, prior EOD 6.16; US-84) + tick (a) RSI_DIV; G1 softening not applicable (PullbackBuy family); G2 suppresses the MoS -6.57 bump (EPV 27.62 implausible, 12wk 220.17 >> DCF 121.01). Re-commit (US-62): SELL at a settled close <=199.16 on us_signals_20261002_06001x.csv or us_signals_20261003_06001x.csv, OR a 2nd consecutive RSI_DIV with conv <65; lapses after the 20261003 EOD. Engine ADD @188.67 is 2.05 ATR below the close = WATCH re-arm (US-54). Trail 191.38->192.60. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 344.08 | NO ACTION | 344.08 | 342.20 | 346.24 (+0.6%) | 347.60 (+1.0%) | 358.80 (+4.3%) | Alphabet reclaimed its 342.20 line (344.08), and the lone strong-sell print did not repeat, so the written trim trigger neither fired nor dissolved. OPERATIONAL: carried pre-commit (US-88/US-79): SELL at a decisive settled close <=337.07 on us_signals_20261002_06001x.csv or us_signals_20261003_06001x.csv; dissolves at >=347.33; lapses after the 20261003 EOD; SSR66->NT0 is not a tick (US-83/US-49); G2 bars amplify. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1065.11 | HOLD | 1065.11 | 1022.05 | 1072.70 (+0.7%) | 1051.03 (-1.3%) | 1098.70 (+3.2%) | Micron beat and raised after the close (FQ4 revenue vs a guide; FQ1 guide), with a muted after-hours tape, so the book holds through the print on its 1022.05 line. OPERATIONAL: catalyst passed (US-85); armed with no tick; US-27 post-print exit case opens at a decisive settled close <=1006.72; L6 no add into the gap. · news |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1157.08 | HOLD | 1157.08 | 1131.95 | 1162.94 (+0.5%) | 1184.44 (+2.4%) | 1203.84 (+4.0%) | Lilly sold the news on strong TRIUMPH-2 retatrutide data (-2.3%) but remains 2.2% above its 1131.95 line; hold. OPERATIONAL: H62->NT0 is a label crossing (US-49); blank Avg_Cost declines the T12-limb arm (US-55). · news |
| — | Microsoft Corp | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Microsoft has printed a buy for four straight sessions and sits at its entry, but it is a breakdown-reversal setup below the book's raw-conviction floor for that family. OPERATIONAL: adj 68 clears 65 but fails the US-16 floor of 85; US-56 stalemate vetoes acquires. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
263 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.310 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.