Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 200.33 | SELL 30% | 200.33 | 174.01 | 201.19 (+0.4%) | 202.12 (+0.9%) | 192.21 (-4.1%) | KLA's risk line has walked 36% below its July peak without the position ever being cut, and its 12-week view (192.21) still sits below the 200.33 close. A 30% trim into today's strength resets the risk. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 Trail Erosion latched first fire, veto-immune (US-36); pinned at the 30% floor (US-39); NT0->AV0 is a label crossing, so no US-87; T12-limb arm needs a non-(c) tick (US-33/84); residual on 174.01; 23rd session unexecuted (US-37). |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 232.28 | SELL 30% | 232.28 | 234.32⚠ | 235.70 (+1.5%) | 259.26 (+11.6%) | 309.93 (+33.4%) | Nebius closed just under its 234.32 line (232.28), and the risk-discipline trim that fired on 1 Sep has never been executed. The mandate stays latched until the position is actually cut. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0020 latched (US-73), veto-immune; non-decisive breach -0.87%; not armed (Gain_ATR 1.41); residual on 234.32. |
| VIST | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de | 64.63 | SELL ALL | 64.63 | 71.84⚠ | 65.32 (+1.1%) | 66.01 (+2.1%) | 69.81 (+8.0%) | Vista has closed below its 71.84 stop for a 9th straight session (64.63, -10% under the line, -15.9% on cost), and the engine now prints a strong sell, so the written stop-loss exit stands despite a cheap valuation. OPERATIONAL: full-exit limb fired 09-24; UNDERVALUED argue-down declined (stop-loss exit, not a trim); OPEC+ 10-05. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1097.39 | NO ACTION | 1097.39 | 1022.05 | 1105.17 (+0.7%) | 1089.81 (-0.7%) | 1166.61 (+6.3%) | Micron is up ~28% on cost and printed an RSI divergence the day after its beat-and-raise, which fires a 30% profit-take, but the <=3 dispose cap displaced it behind three unexecuted risk cards. OPERATIONAL: armed (Gain_ATR 5.24; prior EOD 5.44, US-84) + tick (a) RSI_DIV; G1 softening n/a (AnticipationUp_VCP, S34); no MoS bump (-1.46). Re-commit (US-62): SELL at a settled close <=1051.98 OR a 2nd RSI_DIV with conv <65 on us_signals_20261003_06001x.csv or us_signals_20261006_06001x.csv; lapses after the 20261006 EOD. Line 1022.05 held (chandelier 1008.08 below). Goldman PT 1250, DA Davidson PT 2100. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 338.24 | NO ACTION | 338.24 | 342.20⚠ | 338.94 (+0.2%) | 338.85 (+0.2%) | 350.87 (+3.7%) | Alphabet slipped back under its 342.20 line (338.24) after a second straight no-trade print, which fires a 30% profit-take on a large winner, but the dispose cap displaced it. The written decisive trigger (<=337.07) was missed by 0.35%. OPERATIONAL: armed (Gain_ATR 21.16) + tick (d) NT0->NT0 corroborated by the stop breach, 12wk fade 358.80->350.87 and RSI 45 (US-71); soft tick, no escalation (US-19); G2 bars amplify. Re-commit (US-62): SELL at a settled close <342.20 or <=337.07 on us_signals_20261003_06001x.csv; dissolves >=347.33; lapses after that EOD. |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 212.63 | NO ACTION | 212.63 | 194.50 | 215.53 (+1.4%) | 221.27 (+4.1%) | 220.82 (+3.9%) | Okta keeps climbing (212.63, +52% on cost) with a repeated RSI divergence, so the displaced 30% profit-take trigger is carried unchanged while the trail is raised to 194.50. OPERATIONAL: carried 09- trigger: SELL at a settled close <=199.16 OR a 2nd RSI_DIV with conv <65 (Action still STRONG BUY - ADD cv100, so not met); lapses after the 20261003 EOD; no escalation (US-19); engine ADD @190.72 is 2.26 ATR under the close = WATCH re-arm (US-54). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 230.86 | NO ACTION | 230.86 | 220.48 | 232.32 (+0.6%) | 239.01 (+3.5%) | 248.77 (+7.8%) | Nvidia is armed on its 12-week progress and printed an RSI divergence, but its is missing from the portfolio file, so the profit-take is deferred rather than fired. OPERATIONAL: US-55/66 deferred fire; T12 92.8 + RSI_DIV; fill Avg_Cost in input/usportfolio.json to adjudicate. |
| — | Microsoft Corp | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Microsoft has printed a buy for five sessions at its entry, but conviction slipped to 69 and the valuation haircut leaves it below the floor. OPERATIONAL: adj 62 < 65; US-16 floor 85; US-56 vetoes acquires. |
| — | Sandisk Corp | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Sandisk printed a strong buy at its entry with quality passing, but the model's own 4- and 12-week estimates sit 9-12% below the entry, so the setup is rejected. OPERATIONAL: adj 81 clears floor and US-16 (raw 86); forward-view rejection (S36); US-56 vetoes acquires. |
| — | Lumentum Holdings | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Lumentum broke to a 52-week high on a +7.7% optics rally, but it fails the quality screen and is a momentum-day chase. OPERATIONAL: adj 80; quality gate FAIL (EPV -625.57, possible broken parse US-); BreakoutUp_52W stop-first.462; US-56 vetoes acquires. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
267 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.310 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.