Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | 517.41 | HOLD | 516.08 | 497.37 | n/a | 597.55 (+15.8%) | 737.30 (+42.9%) | Hold AMD 172 @516.08 at breakeven (+0.26%): signal faded to HOLD and conviction dropped, but no signal-based sell reason exists -- not profit-armed (Gain_ATR 0.03, T12 progress 70%), no exit warning, close 517.41 above stop, 12wk target 737.30 (+42%) strongly positive (winner-protection G3). Deterioration is a note, not an exit (no stop break / negative 12wk / SELL-REDUCE). Raise trailing stop 475..37 (model trail, below cost). Broken FV anchor (GPI MoS -16.35) is G2-unreliable and moot on a HOLD. Model 1wk band 473.09-585.31. |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor (ADR) | 436.98 | HOLD | 438.02 | 425.67 | n/a | 482.23 (+10.1%) | 499.70 (+14.1%) | Hold TSM 422 @438.02 (-0.24%): stable FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, conviction firmed, close 436.98 above stop, 12wk target 499.70 positive, not profit-armed (Gain_ATR -0.05, T12 progress 87.5%). Earnings 07-16 (~5 sessions) and June CPI 07-14 -> catalyst-aware HOLD/trail through the events; trim only on a confirmed lower-high or decisive stop break, never pre-trim into the catalyst. NA_CCY -> valuation blind (val_adj 0). Raise trailing stop 419..67 (model trail). Model 1wk band 412.89-472.83. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
24 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.