Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 228.38 | HOLD | 228.38 | 218.10 | 231.67 (+1.4%) | 239.35 (+4.8%) | 246.62 (+8.0%) | NVIDIA held: conviction rebounded, it rose +0.51% on a down tape (median -0.20%), and the board authorised another of buybacks; Micron's beat-and-raise after the close is a positive AI-demand read-through. PROFIT_ARMED phantom (U4: +0.70%, Gain_ATR 0.29); no ticks (12wk 246.62 > 1.02x close). W2 watch cleared (outperformed a down day). Stop 218.10 held (engine 217.41 lower; peak stop 221.79, -1.66%, no ADR-0020). W1 triggers carried: settled close < 218.10 -> sell 30%; < EMA200 (204.20) -> full exit. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1811.67 | HOLD | 1811.67 | 1718.57 | 1839.60 (+1.5%) | 1904.77 (+5.1%) | 1869.76 (+3.2%) | ASML held: conviction eased and it gave back 1.24% on a soft tape, but the HOLD label and the 12-week view (1,869.76) stay constructive. PROFIT_ARMED phantom (U4: -0.84%, Gain_ATR -0.33; T12 96.89% is the ratio artefact); tick (b) -15 < 20, tick (c) not met (1,869.76 > 1,847.90). Stop raised 1,691.53 -> 1,718.57 (engine); peak stop 1,736.47 (-1.03%, no ADR-0020). W1: any SELL/STRONG SELL - REDUCE print or settled close < 1,718.57 -> full exit. Q results 10-14 (outside 5 sessions). |
| — | Micron Technology, Inc. | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Micron printed BUY 68 (Buy_Rank 2) into its fiscal Q4 release and then beat and guided well above consensus after the close, but the anchor price contains none of that reaction, so buying it at the open would be a post-earnings gap chase. adj 68 -8 (MoS -1.50) -7 (FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy) = 53 < 65; single print after W61 (Q4); S5 (anchor precedes AMC print) + L (no post-earnings gap chase). S4 re-arm: a bullish-family row at 2 consecutive post-earnings settled closes with adj >= 65, priced at that row's own Entry_Price (never 1,065.11). |
| — | Sandisk Corporation | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Sandisk flipped to BUY 66 on a FailedBreakdown bounce, the book's worst-graded buy family, and it is a single print after WATCH 61; adj 66 -7 (MoS -1.37) -7 = 52 < 65. The Micron print is a memory read-through it has not yet traded (L). S4 re-arm: second consecutive bullish print with adj >= 65, or any PullbackBuy_VWAP row (USC-), priced at that row's Entry_Price. |
| — | Lumentum Holdings | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Lumentum's buy signal decayed from STRONG BUY 86 to BUY 68 and it still fails the quality gate (F-Score/FCF screen), which blocks new entries; adj 68 -10 -7 = 51. Second consecutive bullish print satisfies Q4, but the gate is hard (W6, fifth blocked bullish print). S4: no re-arm while Quality_Pass is False. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
61 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.493 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.