Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 472.20 | SELL ALL | 472.20 | 464.78 | n/a | n/a | 563.44 (+19.3%) | TSMC's profit-armed stub position (+7.8%, 3.36 ATR above cost) lost its signal: conviction collapsed (NO TRADE, consensus conflict), the ADR-0012 tick (b) the 10-06 card pre-committed to as a full-exit trigger. Bank the gain before the 10-15 Q print. Operational: W1 conversion trigger executed verbatim; 30% of = 0. is a stub, so T5 escalates to a full exit (assumption: the pre-committed T5 trigger outranks the skill's 'never 100% from profit-take alone'); USC-EOQ-CH is n/a (no stop break); news neutral (record high, Citi upgrades), no override. · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 237.47 | HOLD | 237.47 | 224.76 | 240.43 (+1.2%) | 247.33 (+4.2%) | 272.27 (+14.7%) | NVIDIA holds: HOLD (-17, under the 20-pt tick), not armed (Gain_ATR 2.16), 2.58 ATR above the 224.76 stop with a +14.7% 12wk view. W1 triggers carried: close < 224.76 -> sell 30%; < EMA200 205.07 -> full exit. |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1804.96 | HOLD | 1804.96 | 1751.05 | 1832.46 (+1.5%) | 1896.62 (+5.1%) | 1947.85 (+7.9%) | ASML holds into its 10-14 Q print: HOLD 61 flat, 1.18 ATR above the 1,751.05 stop held loose (P2). PROFIT_ARMED is the U4 phantom (underwater, Gain_ATR -0.48). W1: any SELL-REDUCE print or close < 1,751.05 -> full exit. |
| — | Micron Technology, Inc. | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Micron jumped +4.06% to BUY 76 on a DA Davidson target, but it is a first-print FailedBreakdown chase: adj 76 - 8 (usable DCF) - 7 (cell bias) = 61 < 65 (USC-3, Q4). Re-arm: a 2nd consecutive bullish print with raw >= 80, or a PullbackBuy_VWAP print with raw >= 73, then a buy-stop at the live Entry_Price. |
| — | Marvell Technology | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Marvell printed STRONG BUY 78 (PullbackBuy_VWAP) out of two NO TRADE prints, but it fails the hard quality gate (Quality_Pass False) for a new entry, and the limit sits 1.72 ATR below the close. No re-arm while Quality_Pass is False (Q5). |
| — | ASE Technology Holding | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASE held at BUY 64, adj 54, and still fails the quality gate; the limit is 1.95 ATR below the close. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
64 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.493 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.