Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 230.48 | HOLD | 230.48 | 224.76 | 233.76 (+1.4%) | 241.42 (+4.7%) | 259.69 (+12.7%) | NVIDIA holds through the Samsung-triggered chip rout: HOLD, 1.05 ATR above the 224.76 stop, and the -2.94% move beat the -3.71% median (sector beta, W2), with a +12.7% 12wk view. Not armed (Gain_ATR 0.67). W1 carried: settled close < 224.76 -> sell 30%; < EMA200 205.39 -> full exit. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1769.79 | HOLD | 1769.79 | 1751.05 | 1801.29 (+1.8%) | 1874.78 (+5.9%) | 1871.12 (+5.7%) | ASML holds into its 10-14 Q print: HOLD 61 for a fourth flat print, 0.36 ATR above the 1,751.05 stop, which stays loose through the event (P2). PROFIT_ARMED is the U4 phantom (underwater -3.13%). W1: any SELL-REDUCE print or a settled close < 1,751.05 -> full exit of. |
| — | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AMD came back to BUY 71 (PullbackBuy_VWAP) right after a NO TRADE 0 print, so it is not stable, and valuation (MoS -13.44) cuts adj to 61 < 65. The limit is 1.12 ATR below the close. Re-arm: a 2nd consecutive bullish print with raw >= 75 -> GTC limit at the live Entry_Price, sized x0.5 (MoS <= -). |
| — | ASE Technology Holding | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASE printed BUY 71 (PullbackBuy_VWAP) but fails the hard quality gate for a new entry (Quality_Pass False; Q5). No re-arm while the gate fails. |
| — | Lumentum Holdings | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Lumentum flipped NO TRADE 0 -> BUY 71 after a -5.62% day but fails the hard quality gate (Quality_Pass False; W). No re-arm while the gate fails. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
65 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.493 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.