Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 229.28 | HOLD | 229.28 | 224.76 | 232.48 (+1.4%) | 239.94 (+4.6%) | 254.13 (+10.8%) | NVIDIA holds: HOLD (-7, well short of the 20-pt tick), -0.52% on a mixed tape (median -0.41%, in line, W2), 0.85 ATR above the 224.76 stop with a +10.8% 12wk view into TSMC's 10-15 Q print. PROFIT_ARMED is the U4 phantom (T12 ratio 90.22 at +1.09% / Gain_ATR 0.47) - no profit-take basis; stop not lowered to the 218.62 model stop. W1 carried: settled close < 224.76 -> sell 30%; < EMA200 205.34 -> full exit. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1780.34 | HOLD | 1780.34 | 1751.05 | 1812.25 (+1.8%) | 1886.69 (+6.0%) | 1862.08 (+4.6%) | ASML holds into its 10-14 Q print: HOLD (first lift after four flat prints), +0.60% vs a -0.41% median, 0.55 ATR above the 1,751.05 stop, which stays loose through the event (P2). PROFIT_ARMED is the U4 phantom (underwater -2.55%). W1: any SELL/STRONG SELL - REDUCE print or a settled close < 1,751.05 -> full exit of; ratchet after the print. |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 453.31 | HOLD | 453.31 | 435.16 | 460.89 (+1.7%) | 478.56 (+5.6%) | 516.53 (+13.9%) | TSMC catalyst hold confirmed: HOLD, September revenue NT (+54.6% y/y) capped a record NT49T quarter above guidance, and the 10-15 Q print is 4 sessions out (USC-EOQ-CH). Close 453.31 is above the 435.16 hard line, but still below the 464.78 peak stop. The line is held loose through the print (P2) and not ratcheted to the 447.00 model stop. W1: a settled close < 435.16 or any SELL/STRONG SELL - REDUCE print -> full exit of (T5 stub). After 10-15, re-base the stop to the live model stop or a chandelier. · news |
| — | Coherent Corp. | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Coherent is Buy_Rank 1 (BUY 68, +3.40% on Lumentum's sold-out-through-2029 capacity comment), but the hard quality gate blocks a new entry (Quality_Pass False, W), the FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy cell is -7 (USC-), and MoS -8.20 -> val_adj -10, so adj 51 < 65. A peer read-through pop with no Coherent-specific news is an L/US-1 chase. No re-arm while the gate fails. |
| — | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AMD printed a second consecutive bullish PullbackBuy_VWAP (BUY, but raw conviction fell rather than reaching the >= 75 re-arm, and MoS -13.26 cuts adj to 54 < 65. Re-arm unchanged: a bullish-family print with raw >= 75 -> GTC limit at the live Entry_Price, sized x0.5 (MoS <= -). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
65 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.