Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 221.30 | SELL 30% | 221.30 | 209.38 | 224.88 (+1.6%) | 233.22 (+5.4%) | 231.36 (+4.5%) | NVIDIA settled at 221.30, below the 224.76 stop, as a hot CPI print and AI- worries sank chips; the pre-written W1 trigger converts that close into a mandatory 30% de-risk while the 12wk view (+4.5%) keeps the core position. W1 executed verbatim (no re-litigation), although W2 reads the day as beta: NVDA fell -3.16% against a -4.93% median, 0/20 names up. of at the 10-15 open; the residual are re-based to the model stop 209.38. Next W1: settled close < 209.38 -> a further 30%; < EMA200 206.58 -> full exit. Realized about -vs cost 226.80. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1650.00 | SELL ALL | 1650.00 | 1651.25⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1572.08 (-4.7%) | ASML fell -3.94% to 1,650.00 after its Q print (revenue missed, EPS beat, FY guide raised); the label collapsed to NO TRADE cv0 and the 12wk target (1,572.08) is now below the close. Both legs of the 10-13 W1 trigger fire: (i) a close < 1,651.25 (marginal, 0.02 ATR) and (ii) a post-print close < 1,751.05 with raw conv < 50 and Target_12Week < Close (L2). Full exit of at the 10-15 open (T5 stub). ADR-0020 is moot because the position is closed. Realized about - (-9.69%). · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 430.00 | SELL ALL | 430.00 | 435.16⚠ | 437.47 (+1.7%) | 454.91 (+5.8%) | 448.18 (+4.2%) | TSMC settled at 430.00, below the 435.16 hard line it carried into its 10-15 Q print, in a broad CPI-driven chip selloff (-3.40% vs a -4.93% median). The 10-13 W1 trigger pre-committed a full exit of the-sh stub on any settled close below the line (T5). The order executes at the 10-15 open, after the pre-open print, so it trades the reaction rather than front-running it. Realized about - (-1.83%). · news |
| — | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AMD is Buy_Rank 1 at BUY 59 (PullbackBuy_VWAP), but it misses the 65 floor at adj 49 after valuation (MoS -13.26 -> -10). The printed entry 611.20 sits 1.43 ATR above the 570.82 close on a -5.73% day. S8 re-arm unchanged: a bullish-family print raw >= 75 -> GTC at the live Entry_Price x0.5. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
65 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.