Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 217.23 | SELL 30% | 217.23 | 209.38 | n/a | n/a | 219.67 (+1.1%) | NVIDIA closed below its 224.76 stop for a second straight session (217.23) and the signal has degraded to NO TRADE, so the pre-committed 30% de-risk stands; the core stays on while the price holds above the 209.38 model stop and the EMA200. Re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 card (executor dormant), repriced from 221.30 and superseding it (same-direction later card replaces, no stacking). of at the 10-16 open; residual, stop 209.38. Next W1: settled close < 209.38 -> further 30%; < EMA200 206.67 -> full exit. Realized about -vs cost 226.80. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1657.44 | SELL ALL | 1657.44 | 1651.25 | n/a | n/a | 1531.15 (-7.6%) | ASML printed a second straight NO TRADE with zero conviction after its revenue-miss Q3, and the model's 12-week target (1,531) now sits 7.6% below the price, so the exit decided on the print stands. Re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 (ii) full-exit card, repriced from 1,650.00; the close back 0.10 ATR above 1,651.25 does not re-open it (W1 no re-litigation; leg ii = post-print, below 1,751.05 peak, raw < 50, T12 < Close). Full exit at the 10-16 open. Realized about - (-9.28%). |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 422.25 | SELL ALL | 422.25 | 435.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | 422.73 (+0.1%) | TSMC posted a record Q yet the stock fell with the chip rout, closing below its 435.16 hard line for a second session as the signal collapsed to NO TRADE and the 12-week view went flat. Re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1/T5 full-exit card for the-sh stub, repriced from 430.00, superseding it. Realized about - (-3.60%). · news |
| — | Sandisk Corporation | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Sandisk is the only bullish-family print on the board (WATCH 55, oversold reversal) but it is not a buy label and adjusts to 49 < 65; its 12-week view (1,094) is also below the price. Re-arm: BUY-family print raw >= 71 -> GTC at live Entry_Price x0.75. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
68 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.