Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 214.13 | SELL 30% | 214.13 | 209.38 | n/a | n/a | 209.25 (-2.3%) | NVIDIA closed below its 224.76 stop for a third straight session (214.13) on a NO TRADE signal, and the model's 12-week view has now turned negative (209.25), so the pre-committed 30% de-risk stands even though the stock held up better than its peers in Friday's chip rout. Second re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 card (executor dormant), repriced from 217.23 and superseding the 10-15 card (no stacking). L2 pairing now met. of at the 10-19 open; residual, stop 209.38. Next W1: settled close < 209.38 -> further 30%; < EMA200 206.79 -> full exit. Realized about -vs cost 226.80. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1641.52 | SELL ALL | 1641.52 | 1651.25⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1472.67 (-10.3%) | ASML printed a third straight zero-conviction NO TRADE after its revenue-miss Q3, closed back below its 1,651.25 hard line, and the model's 12-week target (1,473) sits 10% below the price, so the exit stands. Second re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 (ii) full-exit card, repriced from 1,657.44, superseding the 10-15 card. Full exit at the 10-19 open. Realized about - (-10.15%). |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 412.61 | SELL ALL | 412.61 | 435.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | 394.69 (-4.3%) | TSMC has closed below its 435.16 hard line for three sessions since its record Q3, the signal is NO TRADE and the 12-week view has turned negative (394.69), so the stub exit stands. Second re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1/T5 full-exit card for the-sh stub, repriced from 422.25, superseding the 10-15 card. Realized about - (-5.80%). |
| — | Broadcom Inc | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Broadcom is the strongest oversold-reversal print in a 0-of-20-up chip rout (WATCH 59), but it is not a buy label, adjusts to 49 < 65 on rich valuation, and its 12-week view (258) is far below the price. Re-arm: BUY-family print raw >= 75 with Target_12Week > Close -> GTC at live Entry_Price x0.5. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
71 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.