Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 217.09 | SELL 30% | 217.09 | 209.38 | n/a | n/a | 208.88 (-3.8%) | NVIDIA has now closed below its 224.76 stop for four straight sessions (217.09) on a NO TRADE signal, with a negative 12-week view (208.88), and Monday's rebound left it below the median chip name, so the pre-committed 30% de-risk stands. Third re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 card (executor dormant), repriced from 214.13 and superseding the 10-16 card (no stacking). L2 pairing met; USC-EOQ-CH not applicable (12W negative). of at the 10-20 open; residual, stop 209.38. Next W1: settled close < 209.38 -> further 30%; < EMA200 206.89 -> full exit. Realized about -vs cost 226.80. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1647.12 | SELL ALL | 1647.12 | 1651.25⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1450.83 (-11.9%) | ASML printed a fourth straight zero-conviction NO TRADE, barely participated in Monday's chip rebound (+0.34% vs a +1.77% median), stayed below its 1,651.25 hard line, and its 12-week target (1,451) sits 12% below the price, so the exit stands. Third re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 (ii) full-exit card, repriced from 1,641.52, superseding the 10-16 card. Full exit at the 10-20 open. Realized about - (-9.84%). · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 420.22 | SELL ALL | 420.22 | 435.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | 393.74 (-6.3%) | TSMC has closed below its 435.16 hard line for four sessions despite a strong Q3, the signal is NO TRADE and the 12-week view is negative (393.74), so the stub exit stands. Third re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1/T5 full-exit card for the-sh stub, repriced from 412.61, superseding the 10-16 card. Realized about - (-4.06%). · news |
| — | Amkor Technology | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Amkor printed the board's only buy signal (BUY 65, lower-band mean reversion, Buy_Rank 1), but it fails the hard quality screen (Quality_Rank 17/20), adjusts to 61 < 65 on valuation, and the model's 12-week view (23.88) sits 43% below the price, so no entry. Re-arm: Quality_Pass True and bullish raw >= 69 with Target_12Week > Close -> GTC at live Entry_Price. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
74 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.