Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 216.47 | SELL 30% | 216.47 | 209.38 | n/a | n/a | 205.46 (-5.1%) | NVIDIA has now closed below its 224.76 stop for five straight sessions (216.47) on a NO TRADE signal, slipped under its 50-day EMA, and its 12-week view has fallen to 205.46, so the pre-committed 30% de-risk stands. Fourth re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 card (executor dormant), repriced from 217.09 and superseding the 10-19 card (no stacking). L2 pairing met; USC-EOQ-CH not applicable (12W negative). of at the 10-21 open; residual, stop 209.38. Next W1: settled close < 209.38 -> further 30%; < EMA200 206.80 -> full exit. Realized about -vs cost 226.80. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1630.84 | SELL ALL | 1630.84 | 1651.25⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1407.14 (-13.7%) | ASML printed a fifth straight zero-conviction NO TRADE, lagged the chip tape on both Monday's rebound and Tuesday's dip (-0.99% vs a -0.39% median), stays below its 1,651.25 hard line, and its 12-week target (1,407) sits 14% below the price, so the exit stands. Fourth re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 (ii) full-exit card, repriced from 1,647.12, superseding the 10-19 card. Full exit at the 10-21 open; after-hours ~1,668 -> reprice to the open if it gaps > 1.5%. Realized about - (-10.74%). · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 425.08 | SELL ALL | 425.08 | 435.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | 395.49 (-7.0%) | TSMC has closed below its 435.16 hard line for five sessions on a NO TRADE signal with a negative 12-week view (395.49), so the stub exit stands despite Tuesday's relative strength (+1.16% vs a -0.39% median, noted for re-entry, not re-litigated per W1). Fourth re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1/T5 full-exit card for the-sh stub, repriced from 420.22, superseding the 10-19 card. Realized about - (-2.95%). · news |
| — | Amkor Technology | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Amkor's one-day buy signal from 10-19 reversed to AVOID 50 (20-day breakdown), confirming the quality-gate block; no entry. Re-arm unchanged: Quality_Pass True and bullish raw >= 69 with Target_12Week > Close -> GTC at live Entry_Price. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
77 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.