Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 221.97 | SELL 30% | 221.97 | 209.38 | n/a | n/a | 212.35 (-4.3%) | NVIDIA bounced 2.5% but still closed below its 224.76 stop for a sixth straight session (221.97) on a NO TRADE signal, and its 12-week view (212.35) remains below the price, so the pre-committed 30% de-risk stands; the SpaceX GB300 demand headline is positive color, not an override. Fifth re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 card (executor dormant), repriced from 216.47, superseding the 10-20 card (no stacking). L2 met; USC-EOQ-CH n/a (12W negative). of at the 10-22 open; residual, stop 209.38. Next W1: settled close < 209.38 -> further 30%; < EMA200 206.66 -> full exit. Realized about -vs cost 226.80. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1676.69 | SELL ALL | 1676.69 | 1651.25 | n/a | n/a | 1457.31 (-13.1%) | ASML printed a sixth straight zero-conviction NO TRADE, sits below its 50-day EMA, and its 12-week target (1,457) is 13% under the price, so the exit stands even though Wednesday's +2.8% rebound lifted it back above the 1,651.25 line. Fifth re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1 (ii) full-exit card (sustained-NoTrade leg; the stop leg lapsed tonight), repriced from 1,630.84, superseding the 10-20 card. Q1 flag: withdraw at the next anchor if it prints a long-side label or reclaims EMA50 1,723.66 while unfilled. Full exit at the 10-22 open. Realized about - (-8.23%). · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 431.89 | SELL ALL | 431.89 | 435.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | 404.23 (-6.4%) | TSMC lagged Wednesday's rebound (+1.6% vs a +2.0% median) and closed below its 435.16 hard line for a sixth session on a NO TRADE signal with a negative 12-week view (404.23), so the stub exit stands. Fifth re-issue of the unfilled 10-14 W1/T5 full-exit card for the-sh stub, repriced from 425.08, superseding the 10-20 card. Realized about - (-1.40%). · news |
| — | Lam Research Corp | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Lam's post-earnings bounce printed only WATCH 66 (oversold reversal) with a 12-week view 34% below the price and a rich valuation (adj 56 < 65), so no entry. Re-arm: BUY-family print raw >= 75 with Target_12Week > Close -> GTC x0.5. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
80 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.