Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1811.67 | BUY | 1811.67 | 1736.90 | 1839.60 (+1.5%) | 1904.77 (+5.1%) | 1869.76 (+3.2%) | ASML's two-day anticipation setup has triggered into a buy of 73. It passes the quality screen and is the only buy that clears the conviction floor after a full valuation haircut, so we open a half-size starter position with room to its 1,905 target. The stock is richly priced and reports on 10-14, which is why the position is half size. OPERATIONAL: WATCH 57 -> WATCH 64 -> ANTIC 88 -> BUY 73, Buy_Rank 3 (the #1 SNOW and #2 MSFT are quality-gate blocked). val_adj -10 (MoS -4.88, regenerated FV at anchor price, T4) + bias +3 (FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy, Z5 sign held 3 reads) = adj 66 >= 65. U2 passes: 12wk 1869.76 = 1.032x entry. Size: 50.71% x equity x 20% x 0.5 (MoS <= -3) ->. Stop: the engine's 1788.40 is only 0.5 ATR below, so V5 applies: 2.0xATR chandelier off the 1830.00 high = 1736.90, written to state at decision time (Y3). Entry_Distance 0.00 and a close near the day's low, so this is not a chase. Market order at the 10-01 open; reprice if it gaps >1.5% (L8). Earnings 10-14 is 9 sessions out, so re-evaluate at the 10-13 EOD (T3 spirit). · news |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 537.95 | HOLD | 537.95 | 517.26 | 547.77 (+1.8%) | 570.68 (+6.1%) | 736.46 (+36.9%) | Dell is flat at 537.95, but its conviction has faded for a third session to 45. It is still 12.6% above cost and 4.0% above its stop, and the 12-week view is strongly positive, so we hold on the stop rather than sell a weakening but intact trend. OPERATIONAL: HOLD -> (deteriorating signal). Not armed (Gain_ATR 2.45 < 3.0, T12 73), so ADR-0012 tick (b) is inert (Y6). Stop 517.26 held (scan 509.52 and chandelier 488.84 are looser). T1: a stop-break alone with a positive 12wk means trail, not trim; exit only on a decisive close < 517.26 WITH 12wk < close (L2). |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 187.05 | HOLD | 187.05 | 181.06 | 190.20 (+1.7%) | 197.55 (+5.6%) | 246.16 (+31.6%) | Palantir is steady at 187.05 on a hold of 61 with a positive 12-week view, so we hold on the existing stop. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 64 x3 -> 61, Gain_ATR 1.26, not armed. Stop 181.06 held (scan 184.43 is <1 ATR below the close; chandelier 176.55 is looser). Decisive close < 181.06 -> trim 30% (181). |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1065.11 | HOLD | 1065.11 | 998.56 | 1087.77 (+2.1%) | 1140.64 (+7.1%) | 1324.14 (+24.3%) | Micron beat and raised after the close: record fiscal Q4 revenue of (vs expected) and a Q1 guide of (vs), and the shares rose in after-hours trading. The news confirms the hold; we do not add into the gap. OPERATIONAL: HOLD (pre-print close). Catalyst hold resolved in favour. L6: no post-earnings gap-chase add; re-arm only on a pullback to the model entry. Stop 998.56 held (scan 1046.23 is <1 ATR below; chandelier 989.58 is looser). · news |
| AAPL | Apple | 333.02 | HOLD | 333.02 | 328.21 | 337.52 (+1.4%) | 348.01 (+4.5%) | 360.38 (+8.2%) | Apple bounced 1.1% to 333.02 and conviction firmed to 69, lifting it 1.5% clear of its stop, so we hold. OPERATIONAL: HOLD. PROFIT_ARMED is immaterial (Gain_ATR 0.25, X2/UT-9). The Z3 count resets on this close above 328.21. The trigger stands: close < 328.21 for 2 sessions -> trim 30% (36); hard close < 321.36 -> exit 120. |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1739.89 | HOLD | 1739.89 | 1589.90 | 1789.86 (+2.9%) | 1906.45 (+9.6%) | 2099.74 (+20.7%) | Sandisk firmed to a hold of 76 at 1739.89, and Micron's blowout memory results are a direct positive read-through, so we hold. OPERATIONAL: HOLD, -5.8% vs the 1846.17 fill. Stop 1589.90 held (scan 1698.25 is <1 ATR below; chandelier 1573.33 is looser). Close < 1589.90 with 12wk < close -> exit 21. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 456.19 | HOLD | 456.19 | 436.58 | 475.11 (+4.1%) | 519.25 (+13.8%) | 508.26 (+11.4%) | After the 30% profit-take filled at 456.74, TSMC's signal recovered from avoid to a hold of 70. We hold the-share residual and nudge the stop up. OPERATIONAL: AVOID 53 -> HOLD 70 AnticipationUp_VCP. The arm has lapsed (T12 89.76 < 90, no Exit_Warning). Stop raised 435.93 -> 436.58 (Y5: 2.0xATR chandelier off the close). A fresh arm + tick on the residual -> 50% tier. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 228.38 | HOLD | 228.38 | 218.10 | 231.67 (+1.4%) | 239.35 (+4.8%) | 246.62 (+8.0%) | Nvidia firmed to a hold of 75 just above cost, with Micron's AI-memory beat supportive, so we hold on the existing stop. OPERATIONAL: HOLD. PROFIT_ARMED is immaterial (Gain_ATR 0.29 < 1.0, X2). Stop 218.10 held (scan and chandelier are both 217.41, looser). · news |
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 339.56 | NO ACTION | 339.56 | 331.00 | 348.28 (+2.6%) | 368.64 (+8.6%) | 407.22 (+19.9%) | Snowflake is the book's top-ranked buy at 76 and clears the floor after the valuation haircut, but it fails the quality screen, which blocks new entries. OPERATIONAL: B ->, Buy_Rank 1; adj 69; Quality_Pass False (F-Score 5). Gate-blocked counterfactual. |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 512.90 | NO ACTION | 512.90 | 506.63 | 520.42 (+1.5%) | 537.98 (+4.9%) | 596.88 (+16.4%) | Microsoft strengthened to a buy of 75 and clears the floor after the haircut, but it fails the quality screen, which blocks new entries. OPERATIONAL: SB 100 -> B -> 75, Buy_Rank 2; adj 69; Quality_Pass False (F-Score 6). Gate-blocked counterfactual. |
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | 971.26 | NO ACTION | 971.26 | 939.98 | 1008.79 (+3.9%) | 1096.37 (+12.9%) | 1148.38 (+18.2%) | Lumentum faded from a strong buy of. After the valuation haircut it sits under the floor, and it also fails the quality screen. OPERATIONAL: SB 86 -> B 68, Buy_Rank 4; adj 61; Quality_Pass False (F-Score 5). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
49 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.125 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.