OversoldBounce_Up
Oversold bounce — RSI deeply oversold with improving momentum and volume confirmation
Setup — what must already be true
- RSI regime ≤ 35
- Liquidity gate is Pass
Trigger — what fires the signal
- > 0
- RSI regime is one of Oversold / Extreme Oversold
- any of: MACD histogram is one of Weakening Bear / Bullish — or — RSI divergence is Bullish Divergence
- Volume vs 20-day average ≥ 1 (HK: 0.8, SG: 0.9)
Trade box & conviction bar
- Entry: market
- Stop: swing low (0.5 ATR)
- Target: fixed
- Time stop: 5 bars
- Conviction: BUY-grade at ≥ 55, STRONG at ≥ 75
📰 From the newsletter
- Issue #7-3 · Speed, Not Prophecy: Momentum Indicators — Momentum indicators measure the speed of price movement, not the certainty of a reversal. Using too many of them often creates redundancy rather than confirmation.
Live track record for this signal
- Hong Kong Main (buy): 100% hit the 1-week target (n=2, building sample)
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