Total-Return Index · Q4 2026 100.3 +0.3% QTD
Performance ›
Today's recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | APPLE INC | 354.88 | HOLD | 354.88 | 339.39 | n/a | n/a | 382.90 (+7.9%) | Q ended 2026-06-27 (pub 2026-07-31): rev +16.4% YoY, net margin 27.2%. Strong; no deterioration. Hold. In target at 15.43% of book vs 15.92% actual (Target Book forecast 2026Q3); doctrine holds - technicals (HOLD, AnticipationUp_VCP) and valuation (GROWTH_PRICED_IN) annotate only. |
| AXP | AMERICAN EXPRESS CO | 318.06 | HOLD | 318.06 | 307.05 | n/a | n/a | 306.61 (-3.6%) | Q ended 2026-06-30 (pub 2026-07-24): rev +8.6% YoY, net margin 27.7%. Solid. Hold. In target at 12.00% of book vs 12.02% actual (Target Book forecast 2026Q3); doctrine holds - technicals (NO TRADE, NoTrade) and valuation (OVERVALUED_VS_RI) annotate only. |
| KO | COCA COLA CO | 97.44 | HOLD | 97.44 | 90.76 | n/a | n/a | 110.57 (+13.5%) | Q ended 2026-04-03 (pub 2026-04-30): rev +12.1% YoY, net margin 31.5%. Strong. Hold. In target at 7.60% of book vs 7.91% actual (Target Book forecast 2026Q3); doctrine holds - technicals (NO TRADE, NoTrade) and valuation (GROWTH_PRICED_IN) annotate only. |
| GOOGL | ALPHABET INC | 298.70 | HOLD | 298.70 | 278.49 | n/a | n/a | 188.56 (-36.9%) | Q ended 2026-06-30 (pub 2026-07-23): rev +24.2% YoY; margin elevated by one-time gains. No sustainable catalyst to add. Hold. In target at 6.59% of book vs 6.89% actual (Target Book forecast 2026Q3); doctrine holds - technicals (STRONG SELL - REDUCE, FailedBreakout_Down_20D) and valuation (GROWTH_PRICED_IN) annotate only. |
| BAC | BANK OF AMER CORP | 50.51 | HOLD | 50.51 | 48.34 | n/a | n/a | 36.56 (-27.6%) | Q ended 2026-06-30 (pub 2026-07-31): rev +15.0% YoY, net margin 28.8%. Strong. Hold. In target at 6.44% of book vs 6.44% actual (Target Book forecast 2026Q3); doctrine holds - technicals (STRONG SELL - REDUCE, FailedBreakout_Down_20D) and valuation (OVERVALUED_VS_RI) annotate only. |
Outcome & track record
How accurate the calls have been.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.109 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
17 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.
Portfolio & signals
Every name we scanned, and where it stands.
| Ticker | Name | Close | Signal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. | Action | Conv | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | KROGER CO | 69.81 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | HOLD | 83 | 70.94 (+1.6%) | 73.56 (+5.4%) | 85.07 (+21.9%) |
| H | ALPHABET INC | 298.70 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | STRONG SELL - REDUCE | 75 | n/a | n/a | 188.56 (-36.9%) |
| H | ALPHABET INC | 295.35 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | STRONG SELL - REDUCE | 75 | n/a | n/a | 186.54 (-36.8%) |
| H | CHUBB LIMITED | 371.76 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | HOLD | 70 | 375.85 (+1.1%) | 385.40 (+3.7%) | 408.18 (+9.8%) |
| H | APPLE INC | 354.88 | AnticipationUp_VCP | HOLD | 69 | 372.43 (+4.9%) | 408.96 (+15.2%) | 382.90 (+7.9%) |
| H | BANK OF AMER CORP | 50.51 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | STRONG SELL - REDUCE | 67 | n/a | n/a | 36.56 (-27.6%) |
| H | CHEVRON CORPORATION | 216.35 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | STRONG SELL - REDUCE | 65 | n/a | n/a | 216.22 (-0.1%) |
| H | DAVITA INC | 174.07 | RallySell_BearTrend | STRONG SELL - REDUCE | 63 | n/a | n/a | 156.21 (-10.3%) |
| H | KRAFT HEINZ CO | 24.48 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | HOLD | 59 | 24.92 (+1.8%) | 25.95 (+6.0%) | 24.16 (-1.3%) |
| H | ALLY FINL INC | 38.00 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 56 | n/a | n/a | 32.04 (-15.7%) |
| H | CAPITAL ONE FINL CORP | 193.60 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 56 | n/a | n/a | 170.41 (-12.0%) |
| H | LOUISIANA PAC CORP | 74.80 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | HOLD | 56 | 76.61 (+2.4%) | 80.84 (+8.1%) | 84.29 (+12.7%) |
| H | NUCOR CORP | 260.75 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 56 | n/a | n/a | 258.83 (-0.7%) |
| H | VERISIGN INC | 312.48 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | HOLD | 48 | 317.62 (+1.6%) | 329.62 (+5.5%) | 336.06 (+7.5%) |
| H | JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP IN | 46.27 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 45 | n/a | n/a | 41.54 (-10.2%) |
| H | AMERICAN EXPRESS CO | 318.06 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 306.61 (-3.6%) |
| H | COCA COLA CO | 97.44 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 110.57 (+13.5%) |
| H | OCCIDENTAL PETE CORP | 58.40 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 51.77 (-11.4%) |
| H | MOODYS CORP | 506.56 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 556.35 (+9.8%) |
| H | DELTA AIR LINES INC | 86.55 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 97.80 (+13.0%) |
| H | SIRIUSXM HOLDINGS INC | 31.74 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 39.95 (+25.9%) |
| H | LENNAR CORP | 83.58 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 89.35 (+6.9%) |
| H | LIBERTY LIVE HOLDINGS INC | 107.62 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 118.17 (+9.8%) |
| H | NEW YORK TIMES CO MTN BE | 71.46 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 75.16 (+5.2%) |
| H | LIBERTY LIVE HOLDINGS INC | 104.17 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 114.02 (+9.5%) |
| H | MACYS INC | 24.33 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 26.35 (+8.3%) |
| H | NVR INC | 5814.34 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 5260.68 (-9.5%) |
| H | LENNAR CORP | 81.63 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 85.92 (+5.3%) |
| H | D R HORTON INC | 144.45 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 150.93 (+4.5%) |
Archive
Earlier end-of-day records.
- 12 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-12
- 11 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-11
- 10 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-10
- 9 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-09
- 6 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-06
- 5 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-05
- 4 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-04
- 3 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-03
- 2 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-02
- 30 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-30
- 29 October 2026 1 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-29
- 28 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-28
- 27 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-27
- 23 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-23
- 22 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-22
- 21 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-21
- 20 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-20