This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

HK Intraday Update · ● Live 29 July 2026 2 updates today Decided by: Manual

Hong Kong — Intraday Update

Provisional BOD read (open+2h, confirm at the settled close). Acquire is NO ACTION and dispose is a three-name de-risk, all three of them carried cards this book has failed to execute. The binary event that framed the semiconductor exits has resolved against the memory complex: SK Hynix printed record quarterly revenue and operating profit but missed forecasts, its stock fell about ten to twelve percent, and the whole memory group is now more than twenty percent off recent highs. The leveraged Hynix tracker on this book fell more than twenty percent in the session on the heaviest turnover in the portfolio; it prints a breakdown-family signal, which satisfies the leveraged-instrument full-exit branch outright, and the exit order the model prints sits far above the market and cannot fill, so it must go at market. SMIC is the significant change at this print: it has escalated monotonically across all four snapshots onto the book's most reliable sell family, now carries the top sell rank in the book, and trades below its carried stop and below both its hundred- and two-hundred-day averages; it is promoted ahead of the leveraged tracker on live exposure. Z.AI softened from a strong sell to avoid at this print, but the label has been bearish for four sessions, the placement and lock-up supply overhang is unresolved, and it remains the largest carried exit and the eighth consecutive unexecuted one. The carried CATL trim's live label has gone flat and the name is up on the session, so the intraday read does not reinforce it; the card stands on its negative forward view but is not escalated. On the acquire side all three names proposed for this open have degraded. JD's buy-stop triggered on strength at the open but the name has since collapsed from three consecutive strong-buy prints to a watch at less than half the conviction, with the relative-strength index above seventy. Meituan has run far above its queued limit and now prints a breakout-chase family, the book's worst-graded buy archetype, with a twelve-week view below the current price; no-chase stays strict and the limit is not lifted. Kingboard flipped overnight from a buy to a breakdown-family avoid, exactly the knife-catch risk flagged when it was ranked the weakest of the three. Two more held semiconductor lines sit marginally below their carried stops on flat or low-conviction labels with clearly positive forward views, and ASMPT's own interim results were strong on bookings and forward guidance, so both are flagged, not exited. Tencent's sell case has fully dissolved: it prints no trade, is up strongly on the session and sits well clear of its standing overlay floor. The rate decision lands tonight and both StanChart and ASMPT report today, so the session is event-dense and the standing bias is no new leverage. The book remains unreconciled with a long backlog of undecided cards, and that backlog is the single largest identified source of loss here.

Provisional intraday reads — confirm at the settled close. Not graded. Last settled index 87.6 — the index updates at the settled close.

Update #2 As of 29 Jul 2026, 11:31:22 GMT+8 (BOD, open+2h) · latest
⚠ Below stop (provisional):
  • 0981 SMIC — close 65.05 ≤ stop 66.00 (-1.4%)
  • 1347 Hua Hong Semiconductor — close 130.70 ≤ stop 133.00 (-1.7%)
  • 0522 ASMPT — close 131.40 ≤ stop 133.00 (-1.2%)

Update #2 picks (provisional)

What stands out this session.

BucketTickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
TRIM2513Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas)1027.00AVOID1014.001049.47 (+3.5%)1009.24 (-0.5%)1131.40 (+11.6%)Largest carried exit in the book and the eighth consecutive session it has been proposed and not executed. The live label softened from a strong sell to avoid at this print, but it has been bearish on every print for four sessions and the placement plus lock-up supply is a structural overhang, not a technical wobble. Route to market rather than re-queue. Forward estimates point up, but this book's one-week calibration has been anti-predictive across the graded sample, so the case rests on the signal, the supply overhang and the chronic drawdown. · Zhipu/Z.AI is pushing a multi-billion placement on top of the cornerstone lock-up tranche that freed on schedule last session, after a rally of roughly fifteen hundred percent since the January listing; the dilution and free-float supply overhang is unresolved and a further employee tranche unlocks in January. · news
TRIM0981SMIC63.10STRONG SELL - REDUCE65.0556.8865.65 (+0.9%)70.70 (+8.7%)72.41 (+11.3%)The significant change at this print: escalated monotonically across all four snapshots onto the book's most reliable sell family, now the top sell rank in the book, trading below its carried stop and below both its hundred- and two-hundred-day averages. Largest live reduce-side exposure. The look-forward layer prefers holding through the results in early August, which is noted as a divergence, but the signal-based case governs and the settled close is authoritative, so confirm at the close. · No fresh company release; the name is trading down with the whole memory and foundry complex after SK Hynix's record-but-below-forecast quarter, with its own quarterly results still ahead in the first week of August. · news
TRIM7709XL2 CSOP SK Hynix (2x tracker)39.74SELL - REDUCE29.4023.5231.41 (+6.8%)31.21 (+6.2%)33.18 (+12.9%)The binary event that framed the carried exit has resolved against the position and the tracker fell more than twenty percent in the session on the heaviest turnover in the book. A breakdown-family signal satisfies the leveraged-instrument full-exit branch on its own, independent of the conviction level, and the exit order the model prints sits far above the market and cannot fill, so it must be routed at market. Sixth consecutive session carried unexecuted on a line that has lost roughly three quarters of its value against cost. · SK Hynix reported record quarterly revenue and operating profit but missed forecasts and flagged heavy capital spending; its stock fell about ten to twelve percent and dragged the memory complex into a drawdown of more than twenty percent from recent highs. · news

All actionable names

Every name clearing the bar right now.

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
2513Z.AI (Knowledge Atlas)1027.00AVOID1014.001049.47 (+3.5%)1009.24 (-0.5%)1131.40 (+11.6%)
0981SMIC63.10STRONG SELL - REDUCE65.0556.8865.65 (+0.9%)70.70 (+8.7%)72.41 (+11.3%)
7709XL2 CSOP SK Hynix (2x tracker)39.74SELL - REDUCE29.4023.5231.41 (+6.8%)31.21 (+6.2%)33.18 (+12.9%)
3750CATL619.50NO TRADE616.50539.12610.50 (-1.0%)591.84 (-4.0%)588.65 (-4.5%)
0522ASMPT149.40AVOID132.58133.00141.09 (+6.4%)149.95 (+13.1%)154.27 (+16.4%)
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor130.00NO TRADE130.70133.00137.78 (+5.4%)139.05 (+6.4%)146.86 (+12.4%)
0939CCB9.15AVOID9.158.759.17 (+0.2%)9.16 (+0.1%)9.17 (+0.2%)
0700Tencent473.40NO TRADE468.00430.00462.71 (-1.1%)460.73 (-1.6%)470.14 (+0.5%)
9618JD-SW127.50WATCH125.32116.50125.70 (+0.3%)127.68 (+1.9%)135.34 (+8.0%)
3690Meituan-W92.20WATCH93.1383.1693.74 (+0.7%)93.32 (+0.2%)87.25 (-6.3%)
0148Kingboard Holdings40.34AVOID39.7043.63 (+9.9%)44.89 (+13.1%)46.42 (+16.9%)

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned this session, and where it stands.

TickerNameCloseSignal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. ActionConv1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
0981HSMIC63.10RallySell_BearTrendSTRONG SELL - REDUCE7864.47 (+2.2%)n/a69.38 (+10.0%)
0522HASMPT149.40FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE76158.09 (+5.8%)n/a165.80 (+11.0%)
2513HKNOWLEDGE ATLAS1027.00FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE761064.50 (+3.7%)n/a1139.60 (+11.0%)
0005HHSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS166.70BreakoutUp_52WHOLD50164.92 (-1.1%)180.83 (+8.5%)168.18 (+0.9%)
2888HSTANCHART235.00BreakoutUp_52WHOLD50234.39 (-0.3%)281.66 (+19.9%)233.02 (-0.8%)
0700HTENCENT473.40NoTradeNO TRADE0468.86 (-1.0%)n/a482.87 (+2.0%)
0823HLINK REIT39.16NoTradeNO TRADE039.27 (+0.3%)n/a39.71 (+1.4%)
0939HCCB - H SHS9.15NoTradeNO TRADE09.15 (+0.0%)n/a9.21 (+0.7%)
1347HHua Hong Semiconductor130.00NoTradeNO TRADE0135.93 (+4.6%)n/a142.04 (+9.3%)
3750HCATL619.50NoTradeNO TRADE0619.01 (-0.1%)n/a597.02 (-3.6%)
7709HXL2CSOPHYNIX39.74NoTradeNO TRADE042.11 (+6.0%)n/a43.74 (+10.1%)
0148KINGBOARD HLDG40.34OversoldBounce_UpSTRONG BUY8043.91 (+8.8%)58.26 (+44.4%)46.91 (+16.3%)
0068MANYCORE TECH7.93FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID768.39 (+5.8%)n/a7.74 (-2.4%)
0100MINIMAX-W229.20FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID73248.92 (+8.6%)n/a271.01 (+18.2%)
7747XL2CSOPSMSN74.92FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID7378.40 (+4.6%)n/a87.33 (+16.6%)
9988BABA-SW117.30FailedBreakdown_Up_20DBUY70115.87 (-1.2%)127.37 (+8.6%)113.73 (-3.0%)
1024KUAISHOU-W43.64FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID7043.44 (-0.5%)n/a40.89 (-6.3%)
6869YOFC98.85FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID68103.62 (+4.8%)n/a120.12 (+21.5%)
0772CHINA LIT20.20FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID6019.95 (-1.2%)n/a18.82 (-6.8%)
0992Lenovo Group Limited23.06FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH5722.79 (-1.2%)26.55 (+15.1%)24.50 (+6.2%)
2382Sunny Optical Technology55.90FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID5356.00 (+0.2%)n/a55.76 (-0.3%)
1211BYD93.40FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH4992.37 (-1.1%)99.95 (+7.0%)96.93 (+3.8%)
2318Aac Technologies Holdings58.35FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH3458.21 (-0.2%)60.55 (+3.8%)60.39 (+3.5%)
0316OOIL152.60NoTradeNO TRADE0154.05 (+1.0%)n/a166.76 (+9.3%)
0388HKEX407.00NoTradeNO TRADE0407.42 (+0.1%)n/a411.81 (+1.2%)
0857PETROCHINA CO LTD H SHS9.96NoTradeNO TRADE09.98 (+0.2%)n/a10.46 (+5.0%)
0941CHINA MOBILE83.15NoTradeNO TRADE083.23 (+0.1%)n/a82.63 (-0.6%)
1810XIAOMI CORP-W28.90NoTradeNO TRADE029.48 (+2.0%)n/a27.55 (-4.7%)
3690MEITUAN-W92.20NoTradeNO TRADE091.85 (-0.4%)n/a85.37 (-7.4%)
9618JD-SW127.50NoTradeNO TRADE0127.07 (-0.3%)n/a138.55 (+8.7%)

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.